預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano v FC Bayern München

開賽時間： 2026-04-09 18:30 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

42 家博彩公司 (16 家納入分析 )

69%

31%

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (主隊)

預測 68.56%1.46公平賠率

EV -1.96%

優勢 -1.37%

Kelly -4.55%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.43

博彩公司預測分布

66.27%68.66%68.52%70.75%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

1.351.381.381.4374.07%72.28%72.46%69.93%最小值平均值中位數最大值

FC Bayern München (客隊)

預測 31.44%3.18公平賠率

EV +3.43%

優勢 +1.04%

Kelly +1.50%

成長率 +0.051%

假設最高賠率為 3.29

博彩公司預測分布

29.25%31.34%31.48%33.73%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

2.753.013.003.2936.36%33.26%33.33%30.40%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (主隊)：68.56%；FC Bayern München (客隊)：31.44%。對於「FC Bayern München (客隊)」，該估計相當於3.18的公平十進位賠率。當時有2家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為3.29，對應+3.43%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同（3 個賽果，而分析採用 2 個賽果）。由於存在這項差異，解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (42 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司	主隊	客隊 ▼	利潤率	更新時間
Pinnacle🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%	3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV +3.43%E +1.04%K +1.50%G +0.051%	3.9%	2026-04-09 16:55
Bovada🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +2.17%E +0.668%K +0.965%G +0.021%	4.8%	2026-04-09 14:15
DraftKings🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.971%E -0.308%K -0.452%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-04-09 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.971%E -0.308%K -0.452%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-04-09 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.971%E -0.308%K -0.452%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-04-09 18:20
William Hill🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.05%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.54%E -0.820%K -1.21%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-04-08 13:35
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.40%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.54%E -0.820%K -1.21%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-09 18:25
888sport🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.54%E -0.820%K -1.21%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-04-08 13:10
888sport (SE)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.54%E -0.820%K -1.21%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-04-08 13:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.54%E -0.820%K -1.21%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-04-08 13:09
Everygame🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.54%E -0.820%K -1.21%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-04-09 18:15
1xBet🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 68.46%EV -3.33%E -2.36%K -8.11%G +0.000%	3.06I 32.68%NM 31.54%EV -3.80%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-04-09 17:25
NordicBet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-08 21:04
Betsson🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-08 21:04
Marathon Bet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.47%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%	3.04I 32.89%NM 31.53%EV -4.43%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-04-09 07:14
Coolbet🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.05%G +0.000%	3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -4.74%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-04-09 14:25
ReBet🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.05%G +0.000%	3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -5.06%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-04-09 12:35
GTbets🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 68.41%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.05%G +0.000%	3.01I 33.22%NM 31.59%EV -5.37%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-04-09 18:25
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-04-08 15:20
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-04-09 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-04-09 18:05
BetRivers🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-04-09 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-04-09 18:05
Unibet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-04-09 18:05
Svenska Spel🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-04-09 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-04-09 18:05
Betway🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-04-08 13:15
theScore Bet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-04-09 14:20
BoyleSports🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-04-09 00:34
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-04-09 09:49
TABtouch🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.26%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-09 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.26%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-09 18:05
BetUS🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.22%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%	2.92I 34.25%NM 31.78%EV -8.20%E -2.81%K -4.27%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-04-09 16:50
BetMGM🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -1.96%E -1.37%K -4.55%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-04-08 14:53
Fanatics🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-04-08 18:35
TAB🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-04-09 17:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-04-08 18:40
PlayUp🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-04-09 18:25
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%	2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -9.77%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-04-08 21:54
Coral🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.55%E -4.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-04-08 14:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.55%E -4.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-04-08 14:55
Neds🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.55%E -4.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-04-08 14:54

利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司	主隊	客隊	利潤率 ▲	更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%	3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%	1.2%	2026-04-09 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%	3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%	1.2%	2026-04-09 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%	3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%	1.2%	2026-04-09 18:10
Smarkets◎	1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%	2.7%	2026-04-09 18:15
Matchbook◎	1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%	3.2%	2026-04-09 18:25

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (1)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同，因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同，因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司	選項 1	選項 2	選項 3	利潤率 ▲	更新時間
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 62.02%	2.87I 34.84%NM 31.12%	13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%	12.0%	2026-04-08 14:54