La scuola delle quote

Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano v FC Bayern München

Inizio: 2026-04-09 18:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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42 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Casa)

Previsione 68.56%1.46quota equa
EV -1.96%
Vantaggio -1.37%
Kelly -4.55%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.27%68.66%68.52%70.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.351.381.381.4374.07%72.28%72.46%69.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Bayern München (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.44%3.18quota equa
EV +3.43%
Vantaggio +1.04%
Kelly +1.50%
Crescita +0.051%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.29

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.25%31.34%31.48%33.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.013.003.2936.36%33.26%33.33%30.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (42 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV +3.43%E +1.04%K +1.50%G +0.051%3.9%2026-04-09 16:55
Bovada1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +2.17%E +0.668%K +0.965%G +0.021%4.8%2026-04-09 14:15
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.971%E -0.308%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.971%E -0.308%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 18:25
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.971%E -0.308%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 18:20
William Hill1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.54%E -0.820%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 13:35
Winamax (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.54%E -0.820%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 18:25
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.54%E -0.820%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 13:10
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.54%E -0.820%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 13:10
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.54%E -0.820%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 13:09
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.54%E -0.820%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 18:15
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 68.46%EV -3.33%E -2.36%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.54%EV -3.80%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-09 17:25
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 21:04
Betsson1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 21:04
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.47%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.53%EV -4.43%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 07:14
Coolbet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -4.74%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 14:25
ReBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -5.06%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 12:35
GTbets1.39I 71.94%NM 68.41%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.59%EV -5.37%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 18:25
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 15:20
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 18:05
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 18:05
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 18:05
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 18:05
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 18:05
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 18:05
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 18:05
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 13:15
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 14:20
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-09 00:34
Winamax (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-09 09:49
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.26%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.26%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 18:05
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 68.22%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.78%EV -8.20%E -2.81%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 16:50
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -1.96%E -1.37%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 14:53
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 18:35
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-09 17:30
PointsBet (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 18:40
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-09 18:25
MyBookie.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -9.77%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-08 21:54
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.55%E -4.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 14:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.55%E -4.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 14:55
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.55%E -4.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 14:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-04-09 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-04-09 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-04-09 18:10
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%2.7%2026-04-09 18:15
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%3.2%2026-04-09 18:25

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.02%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.12%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%12.0%2026-04-08 14:54