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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano v FC Bayern München

开赛时间： 2026-04-09 18:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

42 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (主队)

预测 68.56%1.46公平赔率
EV -1.96%
优势 -1.37%
Kelly -4.55%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.43

博彩公司预测分布
66.27%68.66%68.52%70.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.351.381.381.4374.07%72.28%72.46%69.93%最小值均值中位数最大值

FC Bayern München (客队)

预测 31.44%3.18公平赔率
EV +3.43%
优势 +1.04%
Kelly +1.50%
增长率 +0.051%

假设最高赔率为 3.29

博彩公司预测分布
29.25%31.34%31.48%33.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.753.013.003.2936.36%33.26%33.33%30.40%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (主队)：68.56%；FC Bayern München (客队)：31.44%。 对于“FC Bayern München (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.18。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.29，对应+3.43%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (42 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV +3.43%E +1.04%K +1.50%G +0.051%3.9%2026-04-09 16:55
Bovada🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +2.17%E +0.668%K +0.965%G +0.021%4.8%2026-04-09 14:15
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.971%E -0.308%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.971%E -0.308%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.971%E -0.308%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 18:20
William Hill🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.54%E -0.820%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 13:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.54%E -0.820%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 18:25
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.54%E -0.820%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 13:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.54%E -0.820%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 13:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.54%E -0.820%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 13:09
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.54%E -0.820%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 18:15
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.46%EV -3.33%E -2.36%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.54%EV -3.80%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-09 17:25
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 21:04
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 21:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.47%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.53%EV -4.43%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 07:14
Coolbet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -4.74%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 14:25
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -5.06%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 12:35
GTbets🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.41%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.59%EV -5.37%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 18:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 15:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 18:05
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 18:05
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 18:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 18:05
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 13:15
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 14:20
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-09 00:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-09 09:49
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.26%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.26%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 18:05
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.22%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.78%EV -8.20%E -2.81%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 16:50
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -1.96%E -1.37%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 14:53
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 18:35
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-09 17:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 18:40
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-09 18:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -9.77%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-08 21:54
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.55%E -4.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 14:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.55%E -4.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 14:55
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.55%E -4.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 14:54
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-04-09 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-04-09 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-04-09 18:10
Smarkets◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%2.7%2026-04-09 18:15
Matchbook◎1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%3.2%2026-04-09 18:25

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.02%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.12%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%12.0%2026-04-08 14:54