Language:English
Maccabi Tel Aviv v Hapoel Tel Aviv
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Maccabi Tel Aviv (Local)
Prediction 36.03%2.78fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.466%
Kelly -0.734%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.22%36.04%35.84%37.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.632.652.7441.67%38.03%37.74%36.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hapoel Tel Aviv (Visit)
Prediction 63.97%1.56fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.965%
Kelly -2.75%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.35%63.96%64.16%64.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.471.471.5470.92%67.80%68.03%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maccabi Tel Aviv (Local): 36.03%; Hapoel Tel Aviv (Visit): 63.97%. For Maccabi Tel Aviv (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.78. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.74, with an expected value of -1.28%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.22%EV -1.28%E -0.466%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.78%EV -4.68%E -3.14%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-12 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -1.64%E -0.600%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -4.68%E -3.14%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.32%EV -2.36%E -0.870%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.68%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.68%E -3.14%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 15:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 18:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 17:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 17:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 18:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 18:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 18:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 18:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -3.44%E -1.28%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.27%EV -3.44%E -1.28%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.73%EV -6.60%E -4.52%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 19:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.52%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.68%E -3.14%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 19:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.52%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 19:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.52%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 19:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.52%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.52%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.52%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 15:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.24%E -1.99%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 15:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.24%E -1.99%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.24%E -5.00%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 15:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.60%E -2.14%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 11:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -5.96%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -1.49%E -0.965%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 18:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -5.96%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -1.49%E -0.965%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 18:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 13:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 17:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 11:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 11:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 17:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.24%E -5.00%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 13:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-12 15:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -7.76%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.21%EV -4.68%E -3.14%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-12 18:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -8.12%E -3.19%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -1.49%E -0.965%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 18:27 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -8.12%E -3.19%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 14:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.12%E -3.19%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -6.60%E -4.52%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 17:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.12%E -3.19%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.24%E -5.00%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 11:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.34%EV -8.48%E -3.34%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.66%EV -7.24%E -5.00%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 19:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 14:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 14:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 14:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.01%EV -13.53%E -5.64%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.99%EV -9.80%E -6.95%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-12 19:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50% | 1.3% | 2026-04-12 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65% | 1.8% | 2026-04-12 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80% | 2.2% | 2026-04-12 19:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 18:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 19:10 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.25% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.85% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91% | 11.4% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |