默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Maccabi Tel Aviv v Hapoel Tel Aviv

开赛时间: 2026-04-12 19:15 UTC

最终结果: Maccabi Tel Aviv 88–99 Hapoel Tel Aviv

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

45 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Maccabi Tel Aviv (主队)

预测 36.03%2.78公平赔率
EV -1.28%
优势 -0.466%
Kelly -0.734%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.74

博彩公司预测分布
35.22%36.04%35.84%37.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.402.632.652.7441.67%38.03%37.74%36.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hapoel Tel Aviv (客队)

预测 63.97%1.56公平赔率
EV -1.49%
优势 -0.965%
Kelly -2.75%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.54

博彩公司预测分布
62.35%63.96%64.16%64.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.411.471.471.5470.92%67.80%68.03%64.94%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Maccabi Tel Aviv (主队):36.03%;Hapoel Tel Aviv (客队):63.97%。 对于“Maccabi Tel Aviv (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.78。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.74,期望值为-1.28%,未产生正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(3 个赛果,而分析采用 2 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (45 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.22%EV -1.28%E -0.466%K -0.734%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.78%EV -4.68%E -3.14%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-12 18:55
1xBet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -1.64%E -0.600%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -4.68%E -3.14%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 19:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.32%EV -2.36%E -0.870%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.68%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 19:00
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.68%E -3.14%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 15:20
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 18:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 17:45
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 17:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 18:45
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 18:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 18:45
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 18:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 18:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 18:45
FanDuel🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -3.44%E -1.28%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 19:05
SportsBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.27%EV -3.44%E -1.28%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.73%EV -6.60%E -4.52%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 19:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.52%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.68%E -3.14%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 19:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.52%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 19:09
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.52%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 19:04
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.52%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 19:05
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.52%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.52%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 15:10
GTbets🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.24%E -1.99%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 15:45
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.24%E -1.99%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.24%E -5.00%K -16.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 15:10
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.60%E -2.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 11:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -5.96%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -1.49%E -0.965%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 18:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -5.96%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -1.49%E -0.965%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 18:45
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 13:24
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 17:44
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 11:30
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 17:44
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.24%E -5.00%K -16.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 13:24
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 15:00
BetUS🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -7.76%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.21%EV -4.68%E -3.14%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 18:49
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -8.12%E -3.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -1.49%E -0.965%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 18:27
TAB🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -8.12%E -3.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 14:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.12%E -3.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -6.60%E -4.52%K -14.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 17:45
Everygame🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.12%E -3.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.24%E -5.00%K -16.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 11:25
MyBookie.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.34%EV -8.48%E -3.34%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.66%EV -7.24%E -5.00%K -16.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 19:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 14:25
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 14:25
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 14:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.01%EV -13.53%E -5.64%K -9.66%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 62.99%EV -9.80%E -6.95%K -23.91%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-12 19:04
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%1.3%2026-04-12 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%1.8%2026-04-12 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%2.2%2026-04-12 19:10
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%3.2%2026-04-12 18:50
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%4.3%2026-04-12 19:10

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.25%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.85%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91%11.4%2026-04-12 14:30