L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.74
avec la cote maximale 1.54
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.22%EV -1.28%E -0.466%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.78%EV -4.68%E -3.14%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-12 18:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -1.64%E -0.600%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -4.68%E -3.14%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.32%EV -2.36%E -0.870%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.68%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.68%E -3.14%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 15:20 |
| William Hill | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 18:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 17:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 17:45 |
| 888sport | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 18:45 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 18:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 18:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 18:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 18:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -3.44%E -1.28%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.27%EV -3.44%E -1.28%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.73%EV -6.60%E -4.52%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 19:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.52%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.68%E -3.14%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 19:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.52%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 19:09 |
| NordicBet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.52%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 19:04 |
| Betsson | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.52%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.52%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.52%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 15:10 |
| GTbets | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.24%E -1.99%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 15:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.24%E -1.99%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.24%E -5.00%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 15:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.60%E -2.14%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 11:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -5.96%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -1.49%E -0.965%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 18:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -5.96%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -1.49%E -0.965%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 18:45 |
| theScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 13:24 |
| BoyleSports | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 17:44 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 11:30 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 11:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 17:44 |
| Fanatics | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.24%E -5.00%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 13:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-12 15:00 |
| BetUS | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -7.76%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.21%EV -4.68%E -3.14%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-12 18:49 |
| Bovada | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -8.12%E -3.19%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -1.49%E -0.965%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 18:27 |
| TAB | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -8.12%E -3.19%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 14:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.12%E -3.19%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -6.60%E -4.52%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 17:45 |
| Everygame | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.12%E -3.19%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.24%E -5.00%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 11:25 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.34%EV -8.48%E -3.34%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.66%EV -7.24%E -5.00%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 19:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 14:25 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 14:25 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 14:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.01%EV -13.53%E -5.64%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.99%EV -9.80%E -6.95%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-12 19:04 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50% | 1.3% | 2026-04-12 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65% | 1.8% | 2026-04-12 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80% | 2.2% | 2026-04-12 19:10 |
| Matchbook | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 18:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 19:10 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.25% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.85% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91% | 11.4% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |