La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.74
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.54
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.22%EV -1.28%E -0.466%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.78%EV -4.68%E -3.14%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-12 18:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -1.64%E -0.600%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -4.68%E -3.14%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.32%EV -2.36%E -0.870%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.68%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.68%E -3.14%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 15:20 |
| William Hill | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 18:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 17:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 17:45 |
| 888sport | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 18:45 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 18:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 18:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 18:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 18:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -3.44%E -1.28%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.27%EV -3.44%E -1.28%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.73%EV -6.60%E -4.52%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 19:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.52%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.68%E -3.14%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 19:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.52%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 19:09 |
| NordicBet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.52%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 19:04 |
| Betsson | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.52%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.52%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.52%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 15:10 |
| GTbets | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.24%E -1.99%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 15:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.24%E -1.99%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.24%E -5.00%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 15:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.60%E -2.14%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 11:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -5.96%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -1.49%E -0.965%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 18:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -5.96%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -1.49%E -0.965%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 18:45 |
| theScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 13:24 |
| BoyleSports | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 17:44 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 11:30 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 11:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 17:44 |
| Fanatics | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.24%E -5.00%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 13:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-12 15:00 |
| BetUS | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -7.76%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.21%EV -4.68%E -3.14%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-12 18:49 |
| Bovada | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -8.12%E -3.19%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -1.49%E -0.965%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 18:27 |
| TAB | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -8.12%E -3.19%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 14:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.12%E -3.19%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -6.60%E -4.52%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 17:45 |
| Everygame | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.12%E -3.19%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.24%E -5.00%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 11:25 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.34%EV -8.48%E -3.34%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.66%EV -7.24%E -5.00%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 19:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 14:25 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 14:25 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 14:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.01%EV -13.53%E -5.64%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.99%EV -9.80%E -6.95%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-12 19:04 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50% | 1.3% | 2026-04-12 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65% | 1.8% | 2026-04-12 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80% | 2.2% | 2026-04-12 19:10 |
| Matchbook | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 18:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 19:10 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.25% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.85% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91% | 11.4% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |