语言:简体中文
Hapoel Tel Aviv v Real Madrid
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Hapoel Tel Aviv (主队)
预测 41.20%2.43公平赔率
EV +0.936%
优势 +0.382%
Kelly +0.646%
增长率 +0.006%
假设最高赔率为 2.45
博彩公司预测分布
38.29%41.24%41.29%43.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.292.302.4547.62%43.76%43.48%40.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
Real Madrid (客队)
预测 58.80%1.70公平赔率
EV +0.550%
优势 +0.322%
Kelly +0.775%
增长率 +0.004%
假设最高赔率为 1.71
博彩公司预测分布
56.15%58.76%58.71%61.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.471.611.621.7168.03%62.09%61.73%58.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hapoel Tel Aviv (主队)：41.20%；Real Madrid (客队)：58.80%。 对于“Hapoel Tel Aviv (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.43。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.45，对应+0.936%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (45 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV +0.936%E +0.382%K +0.646%G +0.006% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -10.03%E -6.56%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV +0.936%E +0.382%K +0.646%G +0.006% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -10.62%E -6.99%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85%EV -2.77%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%EV -4.15%E -2.55%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-07 17:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.98%E -1.80%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.98%E -1.80%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.92%E -3.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.92%E -3.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.92%E -3.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.60%E -1.54%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -2.98%E -1.80%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.98%E -1.80%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.98%E -1.80%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 17:58 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 17:58 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.92%E -3.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 17:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.51%E -4.09%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -10.03%E -6.56%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -10.03%E -6.56%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -10.03%E -6.56%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.07%E -2.66%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.57%E -2.17%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -6.07%E -2.66%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.91%EV -6.51%E -4.09%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.39%E -1.44%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.39%E -1.44%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.39%E -1.44%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.39%E -1.44%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.98%E -1.80%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.98%E -1.80%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.57%E -2.17%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.92%E -3.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.92%E -3.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -8.13%E -3.64%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.39%E -1.44%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -8.13%E -3.64%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.98%E -1.80%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -8.54%E -3.85%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27%EV -6.51%E -4.09%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.36%E -4.26%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.57%E -2.17%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -9.78%E -4.46%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV +0.550%E +0.322%K +0.775%G +0.004% | 4.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -10.19%E -4.67%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.18%EV -13.48%E -6.42%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 58.82%EV -13.56%E -9.23%K -28.86%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 1.5% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56% | 2.3% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.43% | 12.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |