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Hapoel Tel Aviv v Real Madrid
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Hapoel Tel Aviv (Casa)
Previsione 41.20%2.43quota equa
EV +0.936%
Vantaggio +0.382%
Kelly +0.646%
Crescita +0.006%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.29%41.24%41.29%43.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.292.302.4547.62%43.76%43.48%40.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Real Madrid (Trasferta)
Previsione 58.80%1.70quota equa
EV +0.550%
Vantaggio +0.322%
Kelly +0.775%
Crescita +0.004%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.71
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.15%58.76%58.71%61.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.471.611.621.7168.03%62.09%61.73%58.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV +0.936%E +0.382%K +0.646%G +0.006% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -10.03%E -6.56%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV +0.936%E +0.382%K +0.646%G +0.006% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -10.62%E -6.99%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85%EV -2.77%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%EV -4.15%E -2.55%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-07 17:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.98%E -1.80%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.98%E -1.80%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.92%E -3.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Betsson | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.92%E -3.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.92%E -3.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.60%E -1.54%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -2.98%E -1.80%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.98%E -1.80%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.98%E -1.80%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 17:58 |
| ReBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 17:58 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Everygame | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.92%E -3.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 17:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.51%E -4.09%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -10.03%E -6.56%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -10.03%E -6.56%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -10.03%E -6.56%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.07%E -2.66%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.57%E -2.17%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| GTbets | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -6.07%E -2.66%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.91%EV -6.51%E -4.09%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.39%E -1.44%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.39%E -1.44%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.39%E -1.44%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.39%E -1.44%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.98%E -1.80%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.98%E -1.80%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.57%E -2.17%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| TAB | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.92%E -3.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.92%E -3.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -8.13%E -3.64%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.39%E -1.44%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -8.13%E -3.64%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.98%E -1.80%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -8.54%E -3.85%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27%EV -6.51%E -4.09%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.36%E -4.26%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.57%E -2.17%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| William Hill | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -9.78%E -4.46%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV +0.550%E +0.322%K +0.775%G +0.004% | 4.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -10.19%E -4.67%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.18%EV -13.48%E -6.42%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 58.82%EV -13.56%E -9.23%K -28.86%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 1.5% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56% | 2.3% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.43% | 12.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |