L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Hapoel Tel Aviv v Real Madrid
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Hapoel Tel Aviv (Local)
Prévision 41.20%2.43cote équitable
EV +0.936%
Avantage +0.382%
Kelly +0.646%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 2.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.29%41.24%41.29%43.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.292.302.4547.62%43.76%43.48%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Real Madrid (Visiteur)
Prévision 58.80%1.70cote équitable
EV +0.550%
Avantage +0.322%
Kelly +0.775%
Croissance +0.004%
avec la cote maximale 1.71
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.15%58.76%58.71%61.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.471.611.621.7168.03%62.09%61.73%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV +0.936%E +0.382%K +0.646%G +0.006% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -10.03%E -6.56%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV +0.936%E +0.382%K +0.646%G +0.006% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -10.62%E -6.99%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85%EV -2.77%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%EV -4.15%E -2.55%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-07 17:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.98%E -1.80%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.98%E -1.80%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.92%E -3.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Betsson | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.92%E -3.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.92%E -3.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.60%E -1.54%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -2.98%E -1.80%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.98%E -1.80%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.98%E -1.80%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 17:58 |
| ReBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 17:58 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Everygame | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.92%E -3.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 17:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.51%E -4.09%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -10.03%E -6.56%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -10.03%E -6.56%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -10.03%E -6.56%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.07%E -2.66%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.57%E -2.17%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| GTbets | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -6.07%E -2.66%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.91%EV -6.51%E -4.09%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.39%E -1.44%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.39%E -1.44%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.39%E -1.44%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.39%E -1.44%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.98%E -1.80%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.98%E -1.80%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.57%E -2.17%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| TAB | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.92%E -3.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.92%E -3.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -8.13%E -3.64%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.39%E -1.44%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -8.13%E -3.64%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.98%E -1.80%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -8.54%E -3.85%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27%EV -6.51%E -4.09%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.36%E -4.26%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.57%E -2.17%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
| William Hill | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -9.78%E -4.46%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV +0.550%E +0.322%K +0.775%G +0.004% | 4.1% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -10.19%E -4.67%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.18%EV -13.48%E -6.42%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 58.82%EV -13.56%E -9.23%K -28.86%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 1.5% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56% | 2.3% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.43% | 12.1% | 2026-05-07 17:59 |