Language:English
Hapoel Tel Aviv v Paris Basketball
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hapoel Tel Aviv (Local)
Prediction 69.31%1.44fair odd
EV -0.880%
Edge -0.615%
Kelly -2.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.27%69.22%69.51%71.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.361.361.4375.76%73.36%73.53%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Paris Basketball (Visit)
Prediction 30.69%3.26fair odd
EV +4.33%
Edge +1.27%
Kelly +1.80%
Growth +0.078%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.12%30.78%30.49%33.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.103.103.4036.36%32.22%32.26%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hapoel Tel Aviv (Local): 69.31%; Paris Basketball (Visit): 30.69%. For Paris Basketball (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.26. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.33%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +4.33%E +1.27%K +1.80%G +0.078% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 11:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +4.33%E +1.27%K +1.80%G +0.078% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 11:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +4.33%E +1.27%K +1.80%G +0.078% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 11:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +4.33%E +1.27%K +1.80%G +0.078% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 11:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +4.33%E +1.27%K +1.80%G +0.078% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 11:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +4.33%E +1.27%K +1.80%G +0.078% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 11:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.26%E +0.382%K +0.548%G +0.007% | 5.5% | 2026-03-17 11:18 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -8.50%E -6.44%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +1.26%E +0.382%K +0.548%G +0.007% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 11:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -8.50%E -6.44%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +1.26%E +0.382%K +0.548%G +0.007% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 11:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.93%EV -4.35%E -3.15%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.07%EV -1.50%E -0.467%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-17 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.81%E -0.565%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-16 18:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.81%E -0.565%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-16 17:56 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -7.12%E -5.31%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -2.42%E -0.761%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-16 18:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.35%E -3.15%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.34%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 10:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.35%E -3.15%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.34%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.35%E -3.15%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.34%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 14:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.04%E -3.68%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.34%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-16 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.04%E -3.68%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.34%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 14:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.34%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-16 16:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.34%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-16 16:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -3.34%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 03:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -5.04%E -3.68%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-17 12:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.65%E -2.63%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.88%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-16 16:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.04%E -3.68%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.88%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.88%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-16 16:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.88%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-16 17:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.88%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-16 16:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.88%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-16 16:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.88%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-16 17:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -4.35%E -3.15%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -5.80%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-17 14:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.46%EV -2.27%E -1.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.54%EV -6.10%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-17 14:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.47%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.53%EV -6.72%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-17 14:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 14:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-16 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.43%E -4.76%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 06:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-16 16:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.91%EV -7.12%E -5.31%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.09%EV -8.86%E -2.98%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-17 14:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.84%EV -7.12%E -5.31%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.16%EV -9.17%E -3.10%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-17 14:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -7.12%E -5.31%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -9.48%E -3.21%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-17 14:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -0.880%E -0.615%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-17 14:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-17 09:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.35%E -3.15%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 14:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.35%E -3.15%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 14:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.45%EV -4.35%E -3.15%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.55%EV -12.24%E -4.28%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 14:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -15.62%E -5.68%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 14:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -15.62%E -5.68%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -15.62%E -5.68%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 14:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-03-17 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-03-17 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-03-17 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 1.7% | 2026-03-17 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92% | 2.7% | 2026-03-17 14:50 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.02% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.12% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87% | 12.0% | 2026-03-17 14:40 |