La scuola delle quote

Hapoel Tel Aviv v Paris Basketball

Inizio: 2026-03-17 15:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Hapoel Tel Aviv (Casa)

Previsione 69.31%1.44quota equa
EV -0.880%
Vantaggio -0.615%
Kelly -2.05%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.27%69.22%69.51%71.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.321.361.361.4375.76%73.36%73.53%69.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Paris Basketball (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.69%3.26quota equa
EV +4.33%
Vantaggio +1.27%
Kelly +1.80%
Crescita +0.078%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.12%30.78%30.49%33.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.103.103.4036.36%32.22%32.26%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +4.33%E +1.27%K +1.80%G +0.078%4.6%2026-03-17 11:19
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +4.33%E +1.27%K +1.80%G +0.078%4.6%2026-03-17 11:19
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +4.33%E +1.27%K +1.80%G +0.078%4.6%2026-03-17 11:19
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +4.33%E +1.27%K +1.80%G +0.078%4.6%2026-03-17 11:20
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +4.33%E +1.27%K +1.80%G +0.078%4.6%2026-03-17 11:20
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +4.33%E +1.27%K +1.80%G +0.078%4.6%2026-03-17 11:19
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.26%E +0.382%K +0.548%G +0.007%5.5%2026-03-17 11:18
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -8.50%E -6.44%K -26.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +1.26%E +0.382%K +0.548%G +0.007%6.1%2026-03-17 11:19
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -8.50%E -6.44%K -26.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +1.26%E +0.382%K +0.548%G +0.007%6.1%2026-03-17 11:20
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 69.93%EV -4.35%E -3.15%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.07%EV -1.50%E -0.467%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-17 14:50
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.81%E -0.565%K -0.821%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-16 18:15
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.81%E -0.565%K -0.821%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-16 17:56
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -7.12%E -5.31%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -2.42%E -0.761%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-16 18:15
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.35%E -3.15%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.34%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 10:10
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.35%E -3.15%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.34%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 14:55
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.35%E -3.15%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.34%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 14:54
Winamax (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.04%E -3.68%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.34%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-16 18:15
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.04%E -3.68%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.34%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 14:14
Betsson1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.34%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 16:15
NordicBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.34%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 16:15
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -3.34%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 03:10
ReBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -5.04%E -3.68%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 12:19
William Hill1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.65%E -2.63%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.88%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-16 16:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.04%E -3.68%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.88%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 14:50
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.88%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-16 16:09
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.88%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-16 17:29
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.88%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-16 16:09
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.88%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-16 16:09
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.88%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-16 17:59
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -4.35%E -3.15%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -5.80%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 14:40
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 68.46%EV -2.27%E -1.61%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.54%EV -6.10%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-17 14:45
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.47%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.53%EV -6.72%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 14:40
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 14:05
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-16 16:20
Winamax (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.43%E -4.76%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 06:40
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 16:14
MyBookie.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 68.91%EV -7.12%E -5.31%K -20.94%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.09%EV -8.86%E -2.98%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 14:19
GTbets1.34I 74.63%NM 68.84%EV -7.12%E -5.31%K -20.94%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.16%EV -9.17%E -3.10%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 14:35
Codere (IT)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -7.12%E -5.31%K -20.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -9.48%E -3.21%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 14:20
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -0.880%E -0.615%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 14:45
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 09:34
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.35%E -3.15%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 14:40
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.35%E -3.15%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 14:40
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 67.45%EV -4.35%E -3.15%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.55%EV -12.24%E -4.28%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 14:39
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -15.62%E -5.68%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 14:45
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -15.62%E -5.68%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -15.62%E -5.68%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 14:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-03-17 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-03-17 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-03-17 14:55
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.7%2026-03-17 14:55
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%2.7%2026-03-17 14:50

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.02%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.12%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%12.0%2026-03-17 14:40