La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Hapoel Tel Aviv v Paris Basketball
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hapoel Tel Aviv (Local)
Predicción 69.31%1.44momio equitativo
EV -0.880%
Ventaja -0.615%
Kelly -2.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.27%69.22%69.51%71.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.361.361.4375.76%73.36%73.53%69.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Paris Basketball (Visitante)
Predicción 30.69%3.26momio equitativo
EV +4.33%
Ventaja +1.27%
Kelly +1.80%
Crecimiento +0.078%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.12%30.78%30.49%33.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.103.103.4036.36%32.22%32.26%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
1 corredor ofrece un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +4.33%E +1.27%K +1.80%G +0.078% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 11:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +4.33%E +1.27%K +1.80%G +0.078% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 11:19 |
| Unibet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +4.33%E +1.27%K +1.80%G +0.078% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 11:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +4.33%E +1.27%K +1.80%G +0.078% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 11:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +4.33%E +1.27%K +1.80%G +0.078% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 11:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +4.33%E +1.27%K +1.80%G +0.078% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 11:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.26%E +0.382%K +0.548%G +0.007% | 5.5% | 2026-03-17 11:18 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -8.50%E -6.44%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +1.26%E +0.382%K +0.548%G +0.007% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 11:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -8.50%E -6.44%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +1.26%E +0.382%K +0.548%G +0.007% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 11:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.93%EV -4.35%E -3.15%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.07%EV -1.50%E -0.467%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-17 14:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.81%E -0.565%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-16 18:15 |
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.81%E -0.565%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-16 17:56 |
| SportsBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -7.12%E -5.31%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -2.42%E -0.761%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-16 18:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.35%E -3.15%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.34%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 10:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.35%E -3.15%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.34%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.35%E -3.15%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.34%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 14:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.04%E -3.68%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.34%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-16 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.04%E -3.68%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.34%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 14:14 |
| Betsson | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.34%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-16 16:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.34%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-16 16:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -3.34%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 03:10 |
| ReBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -5.04%E -3.68%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-17 12:19 |
| William Hill | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.65%E -2.63%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.88%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-16 16:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.04%E -3.68%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.88%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 14:50 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.88%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-16 16:09 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.88%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-16 17:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.88%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-16 16:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.88%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-16 16:09 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.88%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-16 17:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -4.35%E -3.15%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -5.80%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-17 14:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.46%EV -2.27%E -1.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.54%EV -6.10%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-17 14:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.47%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.53%EV -6.72%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-17 14:40 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 14:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-16 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.43%E -4.76%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 06:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-16 16:14 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.91%EV -7.12%E -5.31%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.09%EV -8.86%E -2.98%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-17 14:19 |
| GTbets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.84%EV -7.12%E -5.31%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.16%EV -9.17%E -3.10%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-17 14:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -7.12%E -5.31%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -9.48%E -3.21%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-17 14:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -0.880%E -0.615%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-17 14:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-17 09:34 |
| TAB | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.35%E -3.15%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 14:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.35%E -3.15%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 14:40 |
| BetUS | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.45%EV -4.35%E -3.15%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.55%EV -12.24%E -4.28%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 14:39 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -15.62%E -5.68%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 14:45 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -15.62%E -5.68%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -15.62%E -5.68%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 14:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-03-17 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-03-17 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-03-17 14:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 1.7% | 2026-03-17 14:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92% | 2.7% | 2026-03-17 14:50 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (1)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.02% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.12% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87% | 12.0% | 2026-03-17 14:40 |