Language:English
Fenerbahce SK v AS Monaco
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fenerbahce SK (Local)
Prediction 65.39%1.53fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -3.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.28%65.36%65.40%68.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.441.421.5074.07%69.64%70.18%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
AS Monaco (Visit)
Prediction 34.61%2.89fair odd
EV +2.09%
Edge +0.709%
Kelly +1.07%
Growth +0.022%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.92%34.64%34.60%36.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.752.752.9539.22%36.40%36.36%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fenerbahce SK (Local): 65.39%; AS Monaco (Visit): 34.61%. For AS Monaco (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.89. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.09%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +2.09%E +0.709%K +1.07%G +0.022% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.360%E +0.124%K +0.190%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.360%E +0.124%K +0.190%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.360%E +0.124%K +0.190%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.360%E +0.124%K +0.190%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.360%E +0.124%K +0.190%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -11.07%E -8.14%K -30.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV +0.360%E +0.124%K +0.190%G +0.001% | 8.0% | 2026-03-05 17:43 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.332%E -0.115%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -11.07%E -8.14%K -30.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -0.332%E -0.115%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.37%E -0.481%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.37%E -0.481%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 17:43 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -1.37%E -0.481%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-05 17:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -9.76%E -7.07%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -7.80%E -5.53%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -3.79%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.18%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.82%EV -4.14%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-05 17:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.87%E -2.63%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 17:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 17:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.07%EV -11.72%E -8.68%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%EV -5.18%E -1.89%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 17:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -5.87%E -2.16%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 17:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.87%E -2.63%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 17:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.87%E -2.63%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 17:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.87%E -2.63%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 17:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.87%E -2.63%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 17:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 17:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -2.56%E -1.72%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -7.95%E -2.99%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.91%E -1.27%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 17:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -8.98%E -3.42%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-05 17:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -8.98%E -3.42%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-05 17:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.91%E -1.27%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.02%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.56%E -1.72%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -10.02%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.02%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.02%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -10.02%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -11.75%E -4.61%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 17:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -11.75%E -4.61%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 17:43 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 0.7% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 0.7% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 0.7% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 2.1% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.89% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.93% | 11.0% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |