預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Fenerbahce SK v AS Monaco

開賽時間： 2026-03-05 17:50 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

46 家博彩公司 (18 家納入分析 )

65%

35%

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Fenerbahce SK (主隊)

預測 65.39%1.53公平賠率

EV -1.91%

優勢 -1.27%

Kelly -3.82%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.50

博彩公司預測分布

63.28%65.36%65.40%68.08%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

1.351.441.421.5074.07%69.64%70.18%66.67%最小值平均值中位數最大值

AS Monaco (客隊)

預測 34.61%2.89公平賠率

EV +2.09%

優勢 +0.709%

Kelly +1.07%

成長率 +0.022%

假設最高賠率為 2.95

博彩公司預測分布

31.92%34.64%34.60%36.72%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

2.552.752.752.9539.22%36.40%36.36%33.90%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Fenerbahce SK (主隊)：65.39%；AS Monaco (客隊)：34.61%。對於「AS Monaco (客隊)」，該估計相當於2.89的公平十進位賠率。當時有7家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為2.95，對應+2.09%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同（3 個賽果，而分析採用 2 個賽果）。由於存在這項差異，解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (46 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司	主隊	客隊 ▼	利潤率	更新時間
ATG (SE)🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +2.09%E +0.709%K +1.07%G +0.022%	4.3%	2026-03-05 17:45
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.360%E +0.124%K +0.190%G +0.001%	4.9%	2026-03-05 17:45
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.360%E +0.124%K +0.190%G +0.001%	4.9%	2026-03-05 17:45
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.360%E +0.124%K +0.190%G +0.001%	4.9%	2026-03-05 17:45
Unibet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.360%E +0.124%K +0.190%G +0.001%	4.9%	2026-03-05 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.360%E +0.124%K +0.190%G +0.001%	4.9%	2026-03-05 17:45
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -11.07%E -8.14%K -30.74%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV +0.360%E +0.124%K +0.190%G +0.001%	8.0%	2026-03-05 17:43
BetRivers🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.332%E -0.115%K -0.177%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-05 17:45
Paddy Power🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -11.07%E -8.14%K -30.74%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -0.332%E -0.115%K -0.177%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-03-05 17:45
NordicBet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.37%E -0.481%K -0.741%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-03-05 17:45
Betsson🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.37%E -0.481%K -0.741%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-03-05 17:43
TABtouch🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.12%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -1.37%E -0.481%K -0.741%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-05 17:45
LowVig.ag🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.70%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-03-05 17:44
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.70%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-03-05 17:45
BoyleSports🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.12%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-05 17:45
theScore Bet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.12%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-05 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -9.76%E -7.07%K -25.68%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-03-05 17:45
SportsBet🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -7.80%E -5.53%K -19.01%G +0.000%	2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -3.79%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-05 17:45
1xBet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.18%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.70%G +0.000%	2.77I 36.10%NM 34.82%EV -4.14%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-03-05 17:35
Bovada🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.87%E -2.63%K -8.24%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-03-05 17:44
Betway🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-05 17:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-05 17:44
Parions Sport (FR)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.12%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-03-05 17:45
Codere (IT)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.12%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-03-05 17:45
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 67.07%EV -11.72%E -8.68%K -33.48%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-03-05 17:45
Pinnacle🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.70%G +0.000%	2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%EV -5.18%E -1.89%K -2.98%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-05 17:44
GTbets🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%	2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -5.87%E -2.16%K -3.41%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-05 17:45
William Hill🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.70%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-03-05 17:44
Coolbet🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.87%E -2.63%K -8.24%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-05 17:44
888sport🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.87%E -2.63%K -8.24%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-05 17:44
888sport (SE)🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.87%E -2.63%K -8.24%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-05 17:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.87%E -2.63%K -8.24%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-05 17:44
TAB🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-05 17:44
BetMGM🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-05 17:45
FanDuel🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -2.56%E -1.72%K -5.23%G +0.000%	2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -7.95%E -2.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-05 17:45
Marathon Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.91%E -1.27%K -3.82%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.03%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-03-05 17:45
PlayUp🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.51%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.03%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-05 17:44
Neds🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.12%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -8.98%E -3.42%K -5.51%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-03-05 17:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.12%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -8.98%E -3.42%K -5.51%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-03-05 17:44
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.91%E -1.27%K -3.82%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.02%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-05 17:45
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.56%E -1.72%K -5.23%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -10.02%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-03-05 17:45
DraftKings🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.70%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.02%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-05 17:45
Fanatics🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.51%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.02%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-03-05 17:45
Coral🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.12%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -10.02%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-03-05 17:45
BetUS🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.70%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -11.75%E -4.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-05 17:44
Everygame🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.51%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -11.75%E -4.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-03-05 17:43

利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司	主隊	客隊	利潤率 ▲	更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%	2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%	0.7%	2026-03-05 17:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%	2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%	0.7%	2026-03-05 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%	2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%	0.7%	2026-03-05 17:45
Smarkets◎	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%	2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%	2.1%	2026-03-05 17:45
Matchbook◎	1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%	2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%	4.7%	2026-03-05 17:45

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (1)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同，因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同，因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司	選項 1	選項 2	選項 3	利潤率 ▲	更新時間
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 60.89%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%	13.00I 7.69%NM 6.93%	11.0%	2026-03-05 17:45