L’École des cotesFrançais
Fenerbahce SK v AS Monaco
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fenerbahce SK (Local)
Prévision 65.39%1.53cote équitable
EV -1.91%
Avantage -1.27%
Kelly -3.82%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.28%65.36%65.40%68.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.351.441.421.5074.07%69.64%70.18%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
AS Monaco (Visiteur)
Prévision 34.61%2.89cote équitable
EV +2.09%
Avantage +0.709%
Kelly +1.07%
Croissance +0.022%
avec la cote maximale 2.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.92%34.64%34.60%36.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.752.752.9539.22%36.40%36.36%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +2.09%E +0.709%K +1.07%G +0.022% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.360%E +0.124%K +0.190%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.360%E +0.124%K +0.190%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.360%E +0.124%K +0.190%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Unibet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.360%E +0.124%K +0.190%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.360%E +0.124%K +0.190%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -11.07%E -8.14%K -30.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV +0.360%E +0.124%K +0.190%G +0.001% | 8.0% | 2026-03-05 17:43 |
| BetRivers | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.332%E -0.115%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -11.07%E -8.14%K -30.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -0.332%E -0.115%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.37%E -0.481%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Betsson | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.37%E -0.481%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 17:43 |
| TABtouch | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -1.37%E -0.481%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-05 17:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -9.76%E -7.07%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -7.80%E -5.53%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -3.79%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.18%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.82%EV -4.14%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-05 17:35 |
| Bovada | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.87%E -2.63%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 17:44 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 17:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.07%EV -11.72%E -8.68%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%EV -5.18%E -1.89%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 17:44 |
| GTbets | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -5.87%E -2.16%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| William Hill | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 17:44 |
| Coolbet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.87%E -2.63%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 17:44 |
| 888sport | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.87%E -2.63%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 17:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.87%E -2.63%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 17:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.87%E -2.63%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 17:44 |
| TAB | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 17:44 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -2.56%E -1.72%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -7.95%E -2.99%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.91%E -1.27%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 17:44 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -8.98%E -3.42%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-05 17:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -8.98%E -3.42%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-05 17:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.91%E -1.27%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.02%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.56%E -1.72%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -10.02%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.02%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.02%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -10.02%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| BetUS | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -11.75%E -4.61%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 17:44 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -11.75%E -4.61%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 17:43 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 0.7% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 0.7% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 0.7% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 2.1% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.89% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.93% | 11.0% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |