Fenerbahce SK v AS Monaco

Inizio: 2026-03-05 17:50 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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46 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

65%

35%

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Fenerbahce SK (Casa)

Previsione 65.39%1.53quota equa

EV -1.91%

Vantaggio -1.27%

Kelly -3.82%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

63.28%65.36%65.40%68.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuzione delle quote

1.351.441.421.5074.07%69.64%70.18%66.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

AS Monaco (Trasferta)

Previsione 34.61%2.89quota equa

EV +2.09%

Vantaggio +0.709%

Kelly +1.07%

Crescita +0.022%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

31.92%34.64%34.60%36.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuzione delle quote

2.552.752.752.9539.22%36.40%36.36%33.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta ▼	Margine	Aggiornamento
ATG (SE)	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +2.09%E +0.709%K +1.07%G +0.022%	4.3%	2026-03-05 17:45
Unibet (SE)	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.360%E +0.124%K +0.190%G +0.001%	4.9%	2026-03-05 17:45
LiveScore Bet	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.360%E +0.124%K +0.190%G +0.001%	4.9%	2026-03-05 17:45
Unibet (NL)	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.360%E +0.124%K +0.190%G +0.001%	4.9%	2026-03-05 17:45
Unibet	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.360%E +0.124%K +0.190%G +0.001%	4.9%	2026-03-05 17:45
Svenska Spel	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.360%E +0.124%K +0.190%G +0.001%	4.9%	2026-03-05 17:45
MyBookie.ag	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -11.07%E -8.14%K -30.74%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV +0.360%E +0.124%K +0.190%G +0.001%	8.0%	2026-03-05 17:43
BetRivers	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.332%E -0.115%K -0.177%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-05 17:45
Paddy Power	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -11.07%E -8.14%K -30.74%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -0.332%E -0.115%K -0.177%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-03-05 17:45
NordicBet	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.37%E -0.481%K -0.741%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-03-05 17:45
Betsson	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.37%E -0.481%K -0.741%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-03-05 17:43
TABtouch	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.12%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -1.37%E -0.481%K -0.741%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-05 17:45
LowVig.ag	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.70%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-03-05 17:44
BetOnline.ag	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.70%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-03-05 17:45
BoyleSports	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.12%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-05 17:45
theScore Bet	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.12%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-05 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)	1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -9.76%E -7.07%K -25.68%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-03-05 17:45
SportsBet	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -7.80%E -5.53%K -19.01%G +0.000%	2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -3.79%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-05 17:45
1xBet	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.18%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.70%G +0.000%	2.77I 36.10%NM 34.82%EV -4.14%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-03-05 17:35
Bovada	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.87%E -2.63%K -8.24%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-03-05 17:44
Betway	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-05 17:45
PointsBet (AU)	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.00%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-05 17:44
Parions Sport (FR)	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.12%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-03-05 17:45
Codere (IT)	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.12%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-03-05 17:45
Winamax (FR)	1.35I 74.07%NM 67.07%EV -11.72%E -8.68%K -33.48%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-03-05 17:45
Pinnacle	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.70%G +0.000%	2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%EV -5.18%E -1.89%K -2.98%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-05 17:44
GTbets	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%	2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -5.87%E -2.16%K -3.41%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-05 17:45
William Hill	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.70%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-03-05 17:44
Coolbet	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.87%E -2.63%K -8.24%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-05 17:44
888sport	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.87%E -2.63%K -8.24%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-05 17:44
888sport (SE)	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.87%E -2.63%K -8.24%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-05 17:44
Mr Green (SE)	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.87%E -2.63%K -8.24%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-05 17:44
TAB	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-05 17:44
BetMGM	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-05 17:45
FanDuel	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -2.56%E -1.72%K -5.23%G +0.000%	2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -7.95%E -2.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-05 17:45
Marathon Bet	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.91%E -1.27%K -3.82%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.03%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-03-05 17:45
PlayUp	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.51%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.03%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-05 17:44
Neds	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.12%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -8.98%E -3.42%K -5.51%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-03-05 17:44
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.12%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -8.98%E -3.42%K -5.51%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-03-05 17:44
Unibet (UK)	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.91%E -1.27%K -3.82%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.02%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-05 17:45
Winamax (DE)	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.56%E -1.72%K -5.23%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -10.02%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-03-05 17:45
DraftKings	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.70%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.02%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-05 17:45
Fanatics	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.51%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.02%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-03-05 17:45
Coral	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.12%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -10.02%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-03-05 17:45
BetUS	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.70%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -11.75%E -4.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-05 17:44
Everygame	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.51%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -11.75%E -4.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-03-05 17:43

Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta	Margine ▲	Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%	2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%	0.7%	2026-03-05 17:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%	2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%	0.7%	2026-03-05 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%	2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%	0.7%	2026-03-05 17:45
Smarkets	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%	2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%	2.1%	2026-03-05 17:45
Matchbook	1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%	2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%	4.7%	2026-03-05 17:45

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

Bookmaker	Opzione 1	Opzione 2	Opzione 3	Margine ▲	Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.48I 67.57%NM 60.89%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%	13.00I 7.69%NM 6.93%	11.0%	2026-03-05 17:45