Language:English
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne v Olympiacos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Local)
Prediction 23.03%4.34fair odd
EV +5.92%
Edge +1.29%
Kelly +1.65%
Growth +0.097%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.69%23.17%23.08%28.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.304.184.204.6030.30%23.92%23.81%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Olympiacos (Visit)
Prediction 76.97%1.30fair odd
EV +0.835%
Edge +0.637%
Kelly +2.69%
Growth +0.022%
assuming max odds 1.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.58%76.83%76.92%79.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.221.221.3184.75%81.85%81.97%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Local): 23.03%; Olympiacos (Visit): 76.97%. For ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.34. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.92%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +5.92%E +1.29%K +1.65%G +0.097% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -6.86%E -5.67%K -32.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +5.92%E +1.29%K +1.65%G +0.097% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +5.92%E +1.29%K +1.65%G +0.097% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +5.92%E +1.29%K +1.65%G +0.097% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV +4.77%E +1.05%K +1.34%G +0.064% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV +4.77%E +1.05%K +1.34%G +0.064% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +3.62%E +0.805%K +1.03%G +0.037% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.86%E -5.67%K -32.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.32%E +0.300%K +0.388%G +0.005% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.32%E +0.300%K +0.388%G +0.005% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.32%E +0.300%K +0.388%G +0.005% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.32%E +0.300%K +0.388%G +0.005% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.32%E +0.300%K +0.388%G +0.005% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.32%E +0.300%K +0.388%G +0.005% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +1.32%E +0.300%K +0.388%G +0.005% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 17:58 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.984%E -0.229%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.984%E -0.229%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.984%E -0.229%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -0.984%E -0.229%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.14%E -0.502%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.14%E -0.502%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.86%E -5.67%K -32.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -9.17%E -7.77%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -9.17%E -7.77%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -9.17%E -7.77%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.10%EV -4.21%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.90%EV -9.17%E -7.77%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.38%EV -4.90%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.62%EV -3.01%E -2.39%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-03 17:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.96%EV -7.20%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.04%EV -2.24%E -1.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.78%E -3.03%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.78%E -3.03%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 17:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.86%E -5.67%K -32.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -9.04%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.78%E -3.03%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.75%EV -14.34%E -3.85%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.25%EV -0.705%E -0.546%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.37%EV -22.40%E -6.65%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.63%EV -2.24%E -1.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -24.01%E -7.28%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV +0.835%E +0.637%K +2.69%G +0.022% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 2.2% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.58% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.94% | 12.2% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |