La scuola delle quote

ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne v Olympiacos

Inizio: 2026-04-03 18:05 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Casa)

Previsione 23.03%4.34quota equa
EV +5.92%
Vantaggio +1.29%
Kelly +1.65%
Crescita +0.097%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.69%23.17%23.08%28.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.304.184.204.6030.30%23.92%23.81%21.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Olympiacos (Trasferta)

Previsione 76.97%1.30quota equa
EV +0.835%
Vantaggio +0.637%
Kelly +2.69%
Crescita +0.022%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.31

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.58%76.83%76.92%79.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.181.221.221.3184.75%81.85%81.97%76.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
William Hill4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +5.92%E +1.29%K +1.65%G +0.097%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -6.86%E -5.67%K -32.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 17:59
888sport4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +5.92%E +1.29%K +1.65%G +0.097%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 17:59
888sport (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +5.92%E +1.29%K +1.65%G +0.097%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 17:59
Mr Green (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +5.92%E +1.29%K +1.65%G +0.097%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 17:59
NordicBet4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV +4.77%E +1.05%K +1.34%G +0.064%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:59
Betsson4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV +4.77%E +1.05%K +1.34%G +0.064%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:59
FanDuel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +3.62%E +0.805%K +1.03%G +0.037%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.86%E -5.67%K -32.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 17:59
Unibet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.32%E +0.300%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 18:00
Unibet (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.32%E +0.300%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 18:00
Unibet (NL)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.32%E +0.300%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 18:00
LiveScore Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.32%E +0.300%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 18:00
Svenska Spel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.32%E +0.300%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 18:00
ATG (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.32%E +0.300%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 18:00
SportsBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +1.32%E +0.300%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 17:58
LowVig.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.984%E -0.229%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 18:00
BetOnline.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.984%E -0.229%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 18:00
ReBet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.984%E -0.229%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 17:59
Unibet (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -0.984%E -0.229%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 17:59
BetRivers4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.14%E -0.502%K -0.657%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.14%E -0.502%K -0.657%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 18:00
TABtouch4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.86%E -5.67%K -32.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 18:00
PMU (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 18:00
Neds4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -9.17%E -7.77%K -50.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -9.17%E -7.77%K -50.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 17:59
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -9.17%E -7.77%K -50.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 18:00
GTbets4.16I 24.04%NM 22.10%EV -4.21%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.90%EV -9.17%E -7.77%K -50.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 17:59
1xBet4.13I 24.21%NM 23.38%EV -4.90%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.62%EV -3.01%E -2.39%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-03 17:49
Coolbet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 17:59
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 18:00
BoyleSports4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 17:59
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 18:00
PointsBet (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 17:59
Pinnacle4.03I 24.81%NM 23.96%EV -7.20%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.04%EV -2.24%E -1.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-03 17:59
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.78%E -3.03%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 18:00
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.78%E -3.03%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 17:49
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 18:00
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 18:00
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 18:00
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 18:00
Codere (IT)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.86%E -5.67%K -32.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 18:00
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 17:59
MyBookie.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 17:59
Winamax (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -9.04%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 18:00
Everygame3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.78%E -3.03%K -15.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 17:59
Marathon Bet3.72I 26.88%NM 25.75%EV -14.34%E -3.85%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.25%EV -0.705%E -0.546%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 17:59
BetUS3.37I 29.67%NM 27.37%EV -22.40%E -6.65%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.63%EV -2.24%E -1.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 17:59
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -24.01%E -7.28%K -10.44%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV +0.835%E +0.637%K +2.69%G +0.022%6.6%2026-04-03 18:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-04-03 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-04-03 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-04-03 18:00
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%2.2%2026-04-03 18:00
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%3.9%2026-04-03 18:00

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.58%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.94%12.2%2026-04-03 18:00