La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.60
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.31
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +5.92%E +1.29%K +1.65%G +0.097% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -6.86%E -5.67%K -32.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| 888sport | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +5.92%E +1.29%K +1.65%G +0.097% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +5.92%E +1.29%K +1.65%G +0.097% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +5.92%E +1.29%K +1.65%G +0.097% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| NordicBet | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV +4.77%E +1.05%K +1.34%G +0.064% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Betsson | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV +4.77%E +1.05%K +1.34%G +0.064% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| FanDuel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +3.62%E +0.805%K +1.03%G +0.037% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.86%E -5.67%K -32.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Unibet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.32%E +0.300%K +0.388%G +0.005% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.32%E +0.300%K +0.388%G +0.005% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.32%E +0.300%K +0.388%G +0.005% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.32%E +0.300%K +0.388%G +0.005% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.32%E +0.300%K +0.388%G +0.005% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.32%E +0.300%K +0.388%G +0.005% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| SportsBet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +1.32%E +0.300%K +0.388%G +0.005% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 17:58 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.984%E -0.229%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.984%E -0.229%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| ReBet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.984%E -0.229%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -0.984%E -0.229%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| BetRivers | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.14%E -0.502%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.14%E -0.502%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| TABtouch | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.86%E -5.67%K -32.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Neds | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -9.17%E -7.77%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -9.17%E -7.77%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Coral | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -9.17%E -7.77%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| GTbets | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.10%EV -4.21%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.90%EV -9.17%E -7.77%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| 1xBet | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.38%EV -4.90%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.62%EV -3.01%E -2.39%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-03 17:49 |
| Coolbet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| DraftKings | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Pinnacle | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.96%EV -7.20%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.04%EV -2.24%E -1.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.78%E -3.03%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Bovada | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.78%E -3.03%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 17:49 |
| Fanatics | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| TAB | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| PlayUp | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| theScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.86%E -5.67%K -32.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -9.04%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Everygame | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.78%E -3.03%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.75%EV -14.34%E -3.85%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.25%EV -0.705%E -0.546%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| BetUS | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.37%EV -22.40%E -6.65%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.63%EV -2.24%E -1.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| BetMGM | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -24.01%E -7.28%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV +0.835%E +0.637%K +2.69%G +0.022% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 2.2% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Matchbook | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.58% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.94% | 12.2% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |