La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne v Olympiacos
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Local)
Predicción 23.03%4.34momio equitativo
EV +5.92%
Ventaja +1.29%
Kelly +1.65%
Crecimiento +0.097%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.69%23.17%23.08%28.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.304.184.204.6030.30%23.92%23.81%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Olympiacos (Visitante)
Predicción 76.97%1.30momio equitativo
EV +0.835%
Ventaja +0.637%
Kelly +2.69%
Crecimiento +0.022%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.58%76.83%76.92%79.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.181.221.221.3184.75%81.85%81.97%76.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
1 corredor ofrece un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +5.92%E +1.29%K +1.65%G +0.097% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -6.86%E -5.67%K -32.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| 888sport | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +5.92%E +1.29%K +1.65%G +0.097% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +5.92%E +1.29%K +1.65%G +0.097% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +5.92%E +1.29%K +1.65%G +0.097% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| NordicBet | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV +4.77%E +1.05%K +1.34%G +0.064% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Betsson | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV +4.77%E +1.05%K +1.34%G +0.064% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| FanDuel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +3.62%E +0.805%K +1.03%G +0.037% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.86%E -5.67%K -32.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Unibet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.32%E +0.300%K +0.388%G +0.005% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.32%E +0.300%K +0.388%G +0.005% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.32%E +0.300%K +0.388%G +0.005% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.32%E +0.300%K +0.388%G +0.005% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.32%E +0.300%K +0.388%G +0.005% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.32%E +0.300%K +0.388%G +0.005% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| SportsBet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +1.32%E +0.300%K +0.388%G +0.005% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 17:58 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.984%E -0.229%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.984%E -0.229%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| ReBet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.984%E -0.229%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -0.984%E -0.229%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| BetRivers | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.14%E -0.502%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.14%E -0.502%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| TABtouch | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.86%E -5.67%K -32.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Neds | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -9.17%E -7.77%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -9.17%E -7.77%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Coral | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -9.17%E -7.77%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| GTbets | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.10%EV -4.21%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.90%EV -9.17%E -7.77%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| 1xBet | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.38%EV -4.90%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.62%EV -3.01%E -2.39%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-03 17:49 |
| Coolbet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| DraftKings | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Pinnacle | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.96%EV -7.20%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.04%EV -2.24%E -1.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.78%E -3.03%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Bovada | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.78%E -3.03%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 17:49 |
| Fanatics | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| TAB | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| PlayUp | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| theScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.86%E -5.67%K -32.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -9.04%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Everygame | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.78%E -3.03%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.75%EV -14.34%E -3.85%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.25%EV -0.705%E -0.546%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| BetUS | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.37%EV -22.40%E -6.65%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.63%EV -2.24%E -1.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| BetMGM | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -24.01%E -7.28%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV +0.835%E +0.637%K +2.69%G +0.022% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 2.2% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Matchbook | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (1)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.58% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.94% | 12.2% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |