L’École des cotesFrançais
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne v Olympiacos
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Local)
Prévision 23.03%4.34cote équitable
EV +5.92%
Avantage +1.29%
Kelly +1.65%
Croissance +0.097%
avec la cote maximale 4.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.69%23.17%23.08%28.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.304.184.204.6030.30%23.92%23.81%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Olympiacos (Visiteur)
Prévision 76.97%1.30cote équitable
EV +0.835%
Avantage +0.637%
Kelly +2.69%
Croissance +0.022%
avec la cote maximale 1.31
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.58%76.83%76.92%79.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.181.221.221.3184.75%81.85%81.97%76.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +5.92%E +1.29%K +1.65%G +0.097% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -6.86%E -5.67%K -32.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| 888sport | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +5.92%E +1.29%K +1.65%G +0.097% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +5.92%E +1.29%K +1.65%G +0.097% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +5.92%E +1.29%K +1.65%G +0.097% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| NordicBet | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV +4.77%E +1.05%K +1.34%G +0.064% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Betsson | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV +4.77%E +1.05%K +1.34%G +0.064% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| FanDuel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +3.62%E +0.805%K +1.03%G +0.037% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.86%E -5.67%K -32.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Unibet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.32%E +0.300%K +0.388%G +0.005% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.32%E +0.300%K +0.388%G +0.005% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.32%E +0.300%K +0.388%G +0.005% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.32%E +0.300%K +0.388%G +0.005% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.32%E +0.300%K +0.388%G +0.005% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.32%E +0.300%K +0.388%G +0.005% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| SportsBet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +1.32%E +0.300%K +0.388%G +0.005% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 17:58 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.984%E -0.229%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.984%E -0.229%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| ReBet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.984%E -0.229%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -0.984%E -0.229%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| BetRivers | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.14%E -0.502%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.14%E -0.502%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| TABtouch | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.86%E -5.67%K -32.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Neds | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -9.17%E -7.77%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -9.17%E -7.77%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Coral | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -9.17%E -7.77%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| GTbets | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.10%EV -4.21%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.90%EV -9.17%E -7.77%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| 1xBet | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.38%EV -4.90%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.62%EV -3.01%E -2.39%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-03 17:49 |
| Coolbet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| DraftKings | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Pinnacle | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.96%EV -7.20%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.04%EV -2.24%E -1.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.78%E -3.03%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Bovada | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.78%E -3.03%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 17:49 |
| Fanatics | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| TAB | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| PlayUp | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| theScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.86%E -5.67%K -32.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -9.04%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Everygame | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.78%E -3.03%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.75%EV -14.34%E -3.85%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.25%EV -0.705%E -0.546%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| BetUS | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.37%EV -22.40%E -6.65%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.63%EV -2.24%E -1.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| BetMGM | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -24.01%E -7.28%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV +0.835%E +0.637%K +2.69%G +0.022% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 2.2% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
| Matchbook | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.58% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.94% | 12.2% | 2026-04-03 18:00 |