Language:English
AS Monaco v Olympiacos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
AS Monaco (Local)
Prediction 27.24%3.67fair odd
EV +42.99%
Edge +8.19%
Kelly +10.11%
Growth +4.35%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.22%27.05%26.58%30.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.043.793.555.2532.89%26.40%28.17%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Olympiacos (Visit)
Prediction 72.76%1.37fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.765%
Kelly -2.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.57%72.95%73.42%81.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.281.291.3686.21%78.40%77.52%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AS Monaco (Local): 27.24%; Olympiacos (Visit): 72.76%. For AS Monaco (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. 19 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +42.99%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +42.99%E +8.19%K +10.11%G +4.35% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +42.99%E +8.19%K +10.11%G +4.35% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +42.99%E +8.19%K +10.11%G +4.35% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +42.99%E +8.19%K +10.11%G +4.35% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +42.99%E +8.19%K +10.11%G +4.35% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +42.99%E +8.19%K +10.11%G +4.35% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +36.18%E +7.24%K +9.04%G +3.27% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +36.18%E +7.24%K +9.04%G +3.27% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +33.46%E +6.83%K +8.58%G +2.87% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -15.59%E -13.44%K -97.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.38%EV +12.48%E +3.02%K +3.99%G +0.498% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.62%EV -8.32%E -6.60%K -31.99%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +6.22%E +1.59%K +2.14%G +0.133% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -7.59%E -5.98%K -28.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +4.86%E +1.26%K +1.70%G +0.083% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -8.32%E -6.60%K -31.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +4.86%E +1.26%K +1.70%G +0.083% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -8.32%E -6.60%K -31.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +3.50%E +0.920%K +1.25%G +0.044% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -6.86%E -5.36%K -24.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +2.13%E +0.569%K +0.776%G +0.017% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.13%E -4.76%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 17:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +0.773%E +0.209%K +0.286%G +0.002% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +0.773%E +0.209%K +0.286%G +0.002% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 17:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +0.773%E +0.209%K +0.286%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -6.13%E -4.76%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.96%EV +0.228%E +0.062%K +0.085%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.04%EV -6.13%E -4.76%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.48%EV -1.68%E -0.465%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.52%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -1.95%E -0.542%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.59%E -5.98%K -28.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.95%E -0.542%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.04%E -7.24%K -36.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 17:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -1.95%E -0.542%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -9.77%E -7.88%K -40.72%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.31%E -0.933%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.86%E -5.36%K -24.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.67%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.68%E -3.57%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 17:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.67%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.67%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.67%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.67%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.67%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -9.04%E -7.24%K -36.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.95%E -2.99%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.86%E -5.36%K -24.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.95%E -2.99%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.13%E -4.76%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.86%E -5.36%K -24.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.22%E -2.42%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.04%E -0.765%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.04%E -0.765%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.04%E -0.765%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -1.77%E -1.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -15.57%E -5.02%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -1.77%E -1.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -15.57%E -5.02%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -2.50%E -1.86%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -16.93%E -5.55%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -3.22%E -2.42%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -16.93%E -5.55%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -3.22%E -2.42%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.43%EV -17.20%E -5.66%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.57%EV -3.22%E -2.42%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-12 17:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 1.4% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00% | 2.6% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.58% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.94% | 12.2% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |