La scuola delle quote

AS Monaco v Olympiacos

Inizio: 2026-03-12 18:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

AS Monaco (Casa)

Previsione 27.24%3.67quota equa
EV +42.99%
Vantaggio +8.19%
Kelly +10.11%
Crescita +4.35%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.22%27.05%26.58%30.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.043.793.555.2532.89%26.40%28.17%19.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Olympiacos (Trasferta)

Previsione 72.76%1.37quota equa
EV -1.04%
Vantaggio -0.765%
Kelly -2.89%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.36

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.57%72.95%73.42%81.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.161.281.291.3686.21%78.40%77.52%73.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Unibet5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +42.99%E +8.19%K +10.11%G +4.35%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 17:55
LiveScore Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +42.99%E +8.19%K +10.11%G +4.35%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 17:55
Unibet (NL)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +42.99%E +8.19%K +10.11%G +4.35%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 17:55
Unibet (SE)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +42.99%E +8.19%K +10.11%G +4.35%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 17:55
Svenska Spel5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +42.99%E +8.19%K +10.11%G +4.35%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 17:55
ATG (SE)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +42.99%E +8.19%K +10.11%G +4.35%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 17:55
BetRivers5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +36.18%E +7.24%K +9.04%G +3.27%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +36.18%E +7.24%K +9.04%G +3.27%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 17:55
TABtouch4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +33.46%E +6.83%K +8.58%G +2.87%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -15.59%E -13.44%K -97.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 17:50
1xBet4.13I 24.21%NM 23.38%EV +12.48%E +3.02%K +3.99%G +0.498%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.62%EV -8.32%E -6.60%K -31.99%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 17:50
Marathon Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +6.22%E +1.59%K +2.14%G +0.133%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -7.59%E -5.98%K -28.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 17:55
Betsson3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +4.86%E +1.26%K +1.70%G +0.083%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -8.32%E -6.60%K -31.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 17:55
NordicBet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +4.86%E +1.26%K +1.70%G +0.083%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -8.32%E -6.60%K -31.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 17:55
DraftKings3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +3.50%E +0.920%K +1.25%G +0.044%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -6.86%E -5.36%K -24.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 17:50
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +2.13%E +0.569%K +0.776%G +0.017%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.13%E -4.76%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 17:44
LowVig.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +0.773%E +0.209%K +0.286%G +0.002%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 17:40
BetOnline.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +0.773%E +0.209%K +0.286%G +0.002%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 17:45
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +0.773%E +0.209%K +0.286%G +0.002%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -6.13%E -4.76%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 17:55
Pinnacle3.68I 27.17%NM 25.96%EV +0.228%E +0.062%K +0.085%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.04%EV -6.13%E -4.76%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 17:55
GTbets3.61I 27.70%NM 26.48%EV -1.68%E -0.465%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.52%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 17:55
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -1.95%E -0.542%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.59%E -5.98%K -28.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 17:50
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.95%E -0.542%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.04%E -7.24%K -36.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-12 17:45
BetUS3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -1.95%E -0.542%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -9.77%E -7.88%K -40.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 17:50
Everygame3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.31%E -0.933%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.86%E -5.36%K -24.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 17:40
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.67%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.68%E -3.57%K -15.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 17:44
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.67%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 17:45
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.67%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 17:45
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.67%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 17:45
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.67%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 17:50
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.67%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -9.04%E -7.24%K -36.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 17:55
Parions Sport (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.95%E -2.99%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 17:50
TAB3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.86%E -5.36%K -24.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 17:50
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.95%E -2.99%K -12.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 17:50
PlayUp3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.13%E -4.76%K -21.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-12 17:50
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.86%E -5.36%K -24.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 17:50
FanDuel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.22%E -2.42%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 17:50
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.04%E -0.765%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 17:50
Winamax (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.04%E -0.765%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 17:50
ReBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.04%E -0.765%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 17:50
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -1.77%E -1.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 17:50
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 17:35
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -15.57%E -5.02%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -1.77%E -1.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 17:50
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -15.57%E -5.02%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -2.50%E -1.86%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 17:50
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -16.93%E -5.55%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -3.22%E -2.42%K -9.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 17:50
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -16.93%E -5.55%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -3.22%E -2.42%K -9.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 17:55
MyBookie.ag3.04I 32.89%NM 30.43%EV -17.20%E -5.66%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.57%EV -3.22%E -2.42%K -9.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-12 17:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-03-12 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-03-12 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-03-12 17:55
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71%1.4%2026-03-12 17:55
Smarkets3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00%2.6%2026-03-12 17:55

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.58%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.94%12.2%2026-03-12 17:50