La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.25
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.36
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +42.99%E +8.19%K +10.11%G +4.35% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +42.99%E +8.19%K +10.11%G +4.35% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +42.99%E +8.19%K +10.11%G +4.35% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +42.99%E +8.19%K +10.11%G +4.35% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +42.99%E +8.19%K +10.11%G +4.35% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +42.99%E +8.19%K +10.11%G +4.35% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| BetRivers | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +36.18%E +7.24%K +9.04%G +3.27% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +36.18%E +7.24%K +9.04%G +3.27% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| TABtouch | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +33.46%E +6.83%K +8.58%G +2.87% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -15.59%E -13.44%K -97.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| 1xBet | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.38%EV +12.48%E +3.02%K +3.99%G +0.498% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.62%EV -8.32%E -6.60%K -31.99%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +6.22%E +1.59%K +2.14%G +0.133% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -7.59%E -5.98%K -28.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Betsson | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +4.86%E +1.26%K +1.70%G +0.083% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -8.32%E -6.60%K -31.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| NordicBet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +4.86%E +1.26%K +1.70%G +0.083% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -8.32%E -6.60%K -31.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| DraftKings | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +3.50%E +0.920%K +1.25%G +0.044% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -6.86%E -5.36%K -24.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Bovada | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +2.13%E +0.569%K +0.776%G +0.017% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.13%E -4.76%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 17:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +0.773%E +0.209%K +0.286%G +0.002% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +0.773%E +0.209%K +0.286%G +0.002% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 17:45 |
| BetMGM | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +0.773%E +0.209%K +0.286%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -6.13%E -4.76%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Pinnacle | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.96%EV +0.228%E +0.062%K +0.085%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.04%EV -6.13%E -4.76%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| GTbets | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.48%EV -1.68%E -0.465%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.52%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| theScore Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -1.95%E -0.542%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.59%E -5.98%K -28.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Coolbet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.95%E -0.542%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.04%E -7.24%K -36.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 17:45 |
| BetUS | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -1.95%E -0.542%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -9.77%E -7.88%K -40.72%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Everygame | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.31%E -0.933%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.86%E -5.36%K -24.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| William Hill | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.67%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.68%E -3.57%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 17:44 |
| 888sport | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.67%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.67%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.67%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:45 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.67%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Neds | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.67%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -9.04%E -7.24%K -36.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.95%E -2.99%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| TAB | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.86%E -5.36%K -24.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| SportsBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.95%E -2.99%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| PlayUp | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.13%E -4.76%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Coral | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.86%E -5.36%K -24.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| FanDuel | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.22%E -2.42%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.04%E -0.765%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.04%E -0.765%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| ReBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.04%E -0.765%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -1.77%E -1.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -15.57%E -5.02%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -1.77%E -1.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -15.57%E -5.02%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -2.50%E -1.86%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -16.93%E -5.55%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -3.22%E -2.42%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -16.93%E -5.55%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -3.22%E -2.42%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.43%EV -17.20%E -5.66%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.57%EV -3.22%E -2.42%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-12 17:54 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 1.4% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00% | 2.6% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.58% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.94% | 12.2% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |