L’École des cotesFrançais
AS Monaco v Olympiacos
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
AS Monaco (Local)
Prévision 27.24%3.67cote équitable
EV +42.99%
Avantage +8.19%
Kelly +10.11%
Croissance +4.35%
avec la cote maximale 5.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.22%27.05%26.58%30.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.043.793.555.2532.89%26.40%28.17%19.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Olympiacos (Visiteur)
Prévision 72.76%1.37cote équitable
EV -1.04%
Avantage -0.765%
Kelly -2.89%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.36
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.57%72.95%73.42%81.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.161.281.291.3686.21%78.40%77.52%73.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +42.99%E +8.19%K +10.11%G +4.35% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +42.99%E +8.19%K +10.11%G +4.35% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +42.99%E +8.19%K +10.11%G +4.35% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +42.99%E +8.19%K +10.11%G +4.35% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +42.99%E +8.19%K +10.11%G +4.35% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +42.99%E +8.19%K +10.11%G +4.35% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| BetRivers | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +36.18%E +7.24%K +9.04%G +3.27% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +36.18%E +7.24%K +9.04%G +3.27% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| TABtouch | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +33.46%E +6.83%K +8.58%G +2.87% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -15.59%E -13.44%K -97.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| 1xBet | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.38%EV +12.48%E +3.02%K +3.99%G +0.498% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.62%EV -8.32%E -6.60%K -31.99%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +6.22%E +1.59%K +2.14%G +0.133% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -7.59%E -5.98%K -28.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Betsson | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +4.86%E +1.26%K +1.70%G +0.083% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -8.32%E -6.60%K -31.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| NordicBet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +4.86%E +1.26%K +1.70%G +0.083% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -8.32%E -6.60%K -31.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| DraftKings | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +3.50%E +0.920%K +1.25%G +0.044% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -6.86%E -5.36%K -24.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Bovada | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +2.13%E +0.569%K +0.776%G +0.017% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.13%E -4.76%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 17:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +0.773%E +0.209%K +0.286%G +0.002% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +0.773%E +0.209%K +0.286%G +0.002% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 17:45 |
| BetMGM | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +0.773%E +0.209%K +0.286%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -6.13%E -4.76%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Pinnacle | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.96%EV +0.228%E +0.062%K +0.085%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.04%EV -6.13%E -4.76%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| GTbets | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.48%EV -1.68%E -0.465%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.52%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| theScore Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -1.95%E -0.542%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.59%E -5.98%K -28.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Coolbet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.95%E -0.542%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.04%E -7.24%K -36.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 17:45 |
| BetUS | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -1.95%E -0.542%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -9.77%E -7.88%K -40.72%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Everygame | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.31%E -0.933%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.86%E -5.36%K -24.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| William Hill | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.67%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.68%E -3.57%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 17:44 |
| 888sport | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.67%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.67%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.67%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:45 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.67%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Neds | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.67%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -9.04%E -7.24%K -36.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.95%E -2.99%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| TAB | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.86%E -5.36%K -24.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| SportsBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.95%E -2.99%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| PlayUp | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.13%E -4.76%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Coral | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.86%E -5.36%K -24.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| FanDuel | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.22%E -2.42%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.04%E -0.765%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.04%E -0.765%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| ReBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.04%E -0.765%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -1.77%E -1.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -15.57%E -5.02%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -1.77%E -1.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -15.57%E -5.02%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -2.50%E -1.86%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -16.93%E -5.55%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -3.22%E -2.42%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -16.93%E -5.55%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -3.22%E -2.42%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.43%EV -17.20%E -5.66%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.57%EV -3.22%E -2.42%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-12 17:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 1.4% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00% | 2.6% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.58% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.94% | 12.2% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |