La escuela de los momiosEspañol
AS Monaco v Olympiacos
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
AS Monaco (Local)
Predicción 27.24%3.67momio equitativo
EV +42.99%
Ventaja +8.19%
Kelly +10.11%
Crecimiento +4.35%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.22%27.05%26.58%30.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.043.793.555.2532.89%26.40%28.17%19.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Olympiacos (Visitante)
Predicción 72.76%1.37momio equitativo
EV -1.04%
Ventaja -0.765%
Kelly -2.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.57%72.95%73.42%81.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.161.281.291.3686.21%78.40%77.52%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
1 corredor ofrece un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +42.99%E +8.19%K +10.11%G +4.35% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +42.99%E +8.19%K +10.11%G +4.35% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +42.99%E +8.19%K +10.11%G +4.35% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +42.99%E +8.19%K +10.11%G +4.35% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +42.99%E +8.19%K +10.11%G +4.35% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +42.99%E +8.19%K +10.11%G +4.35% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| BetRivers | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +36.18%E +7.24%K +9.04%G +3.27% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +36.18%E +7.24%K +9.04%G +3.27% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -14.87%E -12.71%K -87.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| TABtouch | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +33.46%E +6.83%K +8.58%G +2.87% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -15.59%E -13.44%K -97.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| 1xBet | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.38%EV +12.48%E +3.02%K +3.99%G +0.498% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.62%EV -8.32%E -6.60%K -31.99%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +6.22%E +1.59%K +2.14%G +0.133% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -7.59%E -5.98%K -28.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Betsson | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +4.86%E +1.26%K +1.70%G +0.083% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -8.32%E -6.60%K -31.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| NordicBet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +4.86%E +1.26%K +1.70%G +0.083% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -8.32%E -6.60%K -31.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| DraftKings | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +3.50%E +0.920%K +1.25%G +0.044% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -6.86%E -5.36%K -24.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Bovada | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +2.13%E +0.569%K +0.776%G +0.017% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.13%E -4.76%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 17:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +0.773%E +0.209%K +0.286%G +0.002% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +0.773%E +0.209%K +0.286%G +0.002% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 17:45 |
| BetMGM | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +0.773%E +0.209%K +0.286%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -6.13%E -4.76%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Pinnacle | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.96%EV +0.228%E +0.062%K +0.085%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.04%EV -6.13%E -4.76%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| GTbets | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.48%EV -1.68%E -0.465%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.52%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| theScore Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -1.95%E -0.542%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.59%E -5.98%K -28.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Coolbet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.95%E -0.542%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.04%E -7.24%K -36.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 17:45 |
| BetUS | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -1.95%E -0.542%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -9.77%E -7.88%K -40.72%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Everygame | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.31%E -0.933%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.86%E -5.36%K -24.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| William Hill | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.67%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.68%E -3.57%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 17:44 |
| 888sport | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.67%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.67%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.67%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:45 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.67%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Neds | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.67%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -9.04%E -7.24%K -36.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.95%E -2.99%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| TAB | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.86%E -5.36%K -24.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| SportsBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.95%E -2.99%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| PlayUp | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.13%E -4.76%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Coral | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.86%E -5.36%K -24.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| FanDuel | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.22%E -2.42%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.04%E -0.765%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.04%E -0.765%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| ReBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.04%E -0.765%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -1.77%E -1.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.41%E -4.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -15.57%E -5.02%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -1.77%E -1.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -15.57%E -5.02%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -2.50%E -1.86%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -16.93%E -5.55%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -3.22%E -2.42%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -16.93%E -5.55%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -3.22%E -2.42%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.43%EV -17.20%E -5.66%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.57%EV -3.22%E -2.42%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-12 17:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 1.4% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00% | 2.6% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (1)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.58% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.94% | 12.2% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |