Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

AS Monaco v FC Barcelona Bàsquet

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 17:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AS Monaco (Local)

Prediction 57.89%1.73fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -0.930%
Kelly -2.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.07%57.89%57.89%59.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.631.641.7064.52%61.17%60.98%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Visit)

Prediction 42.11%2.37fair odd
EV -0.630%
Edge -0.267%
Kelly -0.463%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.66%42.11%42.11%43.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.252.252.3646.51%44.49%44.44%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AS Monaco (Local): 57.89%; FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Visit): 42.11%. For FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.36, with an expected value of -0.630%; they did not produce positive expected value.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.58%E -0.930%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.63%E -3.98%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 17:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-10 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-10 16:50
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.68%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 17:15
888sport🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 17:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 17:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 17:10
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 17:10
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.10%E -2.74%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 17:10
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 17:15
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.10%E -2.74%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 17:10
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -6.52%E -2.94%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-10 12:29
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 12:59
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.47%E -4.41%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 16:09
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -1.89%E -0.812%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 17:20
FanDuel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.00%E -1.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 17:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 17:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 17:20
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 17:10
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -9.05%E -4.19%K -7.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 17:15
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%EV -5.63%E -3.46%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85%EV -0.630%E -0.267%K -0.463%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 17:20
William Hill🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -5.63%E -3.46%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -1.47%E -0.629%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 09:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -1.47%E -0.629%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 17:15
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 17:20
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 17:20
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 17:19
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 17:20
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 16:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 16:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -8.21%E -3.77%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 17:10
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.447%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 17:05
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -4.42%E -1.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 17:20
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 17:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 17:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 17:20
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 17:20
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 17:05
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 17:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 17:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-04-10 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-04-10 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-04-10 17:20
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%2.6%2026-04-10 17:25
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%3.4%2026-04-10 17:25

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.14%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.46%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.40%12.6%2026-04-10 17:05