L’École des cotesFrançais
AS Monaco v FC Barcelona Bàsquet
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
AS Monaco (Local)
Prévision 57.89%1.73cote équitable
EV -1.58%
Avantage -0.930%
Kelly -2.26%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.07%57.89%57.89%59.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.631.641.7064.52%61.17%60.98%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Visiteur)
Prévision 42.11%2.37cote équitable
EV -0.630%
Avantage -0.267%
Kelly -0.463%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.36
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.66%42.11%42.11%43.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.252.252.3646.51%44.49%44.44%42.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.58%E -0.930%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.63%E -3.98%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 17:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-10 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-10 16:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.68%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 17:15 |
| 888sport | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 17:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 17:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 17:10 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 17:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 17:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.10%E -2.74%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 17:10 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 17:15 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 17:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.10%E -2.74%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 17:10 |
| GTbets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -6.52%E -2.94%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-10 12:29 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-10 12:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.47%E -4.41%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 16:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -1.89%E -0.812%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-10 17:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.00%E -1.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-10 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 17:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 17:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 17:10 |
| BetUS | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -9.05%E -4.19%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-10 17:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%EV -5.63%E -3.46%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85%EV -0.630%E -0.267%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-10 17:20 |
| William Hill | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -5.63%E -3.46%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -1.47%E -0.629%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 09:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -1.47%E -0.629%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-10 17:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 17:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 17:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 17:19 |
| Betsson | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 17:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-10 16:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-10 16:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -8.21%E -3.77%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 17:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.447%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 17:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -4.42%E -1.95%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 17:20 |
| TAB | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 17:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 17:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 17:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-10 17:20 |
| Coral | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-10 17:05 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-10 17:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-10 17:04 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 0.2% | 2026-04-10 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 0.2% | 2026-04-10 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-04-10 17:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29% | 2.6% | 2026-04-10 17:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30% | 3.4% | 2026-04-10 17:25 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.14% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.46% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.40% | 12.6% | 2026-04-10 17:05 |