La escuela de los momiosEspañol
AS Monaco v FC Barcelona Bàsquet
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
AS Monaco (Local)
Predicción 57.89%1.73momio equitativo
EV -1.58%
Ventaja -0.930%
Kelly -2.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.07%57.89%57.89%59.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.631.641.7064.52%61.17%60.98%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Visitante)
Predicción 42.11%2.37momio equitativo
EV -0.630%
Ventaja -0.267%
Kelly -0.463%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.66%42.11%42.11%43.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.252.252.3646.51%44.49%44.44%42.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
1 corredor ofrece un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.58%E -0.930%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.63%E -3.98%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 17:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-10 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-10 16:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.68%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 17:15 |
| 888sport | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 17:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 17:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 17:10 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 17:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 17:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.10%E -2.74%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 17:10 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 17:15 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 17:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.10%E -2.74%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 17:10 |
| GTbets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -6.52%E -2.94%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-10 12:29 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-10 12:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.47%E -4.41%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 16:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -1.89%E -0.812%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-10 17:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.00%E -1.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-10 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 17:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 17:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 17:10 |
| BetUS | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -9.05%E -4.19%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-10 17:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%EV -5.63%E -3.46%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85%EV -0.630%E -0.267%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-10 17:20 |
| William Hill | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -5.63%E -3.46%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -1.47%E -0.629%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 09:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -1.47%E -0.629%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-10 17:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 17:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 17:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 17:19 |
| Betsson | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 17:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-10 16:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-10 16:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -8.21%E -3.77%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 17:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.447%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 17:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -4.42%E -1.95%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 17:20 |
| TAB | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 17:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 17:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 17:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-10 17:20 |
| Coral | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-10 17:05 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-10 17:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-10 17:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 0.2% | 2026-04-10 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 0.2% | 2026-04-10 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-04-10 17:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29% | 2.6% | 2026-04-10 17:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30% | 3.4% | 2026-04-10 17:25 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (1)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.14% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.46% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.40% | 12.6% | 2026-04-10 17:05 |