La scuola delle quote

AS Monaco v FC Barcelona Bàsquet

Inizio: 2026-04-10 17:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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45 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

AS Monaco (Casa)

Previsione 57.89%1.73quota equa
EV -1.58%
Vantaggio -0.930%
Kelly -2.26%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.07%57.89%57.89%59.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.551.631.641.7064.52%61.17%60.98%58.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Trasferta)

Previsione 42.11%2.37quota equa
EV -0.630%
Vantaggio -0.267%
Kelly -0.463%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.36

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.66%42.11%42.11%43.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.252.252.3646.51%44.49%44.44%42.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.58%E -0.930%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.63%E -3.98%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 17:15
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-10 16:50
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-10 16:50
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.68%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 17:15
888sport1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 17:20
888sport (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 17:19
Mr Green (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 17:20
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 17:10
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 17:10
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 17:10
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 17:10
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 17:10
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 17:10
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.10%E -2.74%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 17:10
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 17:15
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.10%E -2.74%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 17:10
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -6.52%E -2.94%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-10 12:29
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 12:59
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.47%E -4.41%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 16:09
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -1.89%E -0.812%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 17:20
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.00%E -1.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 17:20
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 17:20
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 17:20
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 17:10
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -9.05%E -4.19%K -7.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 17:15
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%EV -5.63%E -3.46%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85%EV -0.630%E -0.267%K -0.463%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 17:20
William Hill1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -5.63%E -3.46%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -1.47%E -0.629%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 09:05
Marathon Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -1.47%E -0.629%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 17:15
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 17:20
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 17:20
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 17:19
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 17:20
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 16:05
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 16:04
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -8.21%E -3.77%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 17:10
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.447%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 17:05
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -4.42%E -1.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 17:20
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 17:20
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 17:25
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 17:20
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 17:20
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 17:05
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 17:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 17:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-04-10 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-04-10 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-04-10 17:20
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%2.6%2026-04-10 17:25
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%3.4%2026-04-10 17:25

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.14%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.46%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.40%12.6%2026-04-10 17:05