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Saitama Seibu Lions v Chiba Lotte Marines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)
Prediction 58.74%1.70fair odd
EV +0.440%
Edge +0.257%
Kelly +0.619%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.12%58.38%59.10%60.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.621.631.7166.23%61.74%61.35%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)
Prediction 41.26%2.42fair odd
EV -0.555%
Edge -0.230%
Kelly -0.394%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.28%41.62%40.90%44.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.262.252.4147.62%44.17%44.44%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 58.74%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 41.26%. For Saitama Seibu Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.70. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.440%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +0.440%E +0.257%K +0.619%G +0.003% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -13.35%E -6.36%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-19 16:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -0.148%E -0.087%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -10.46%E -4.82%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 07:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -1.91%E -1.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -13.35%E -6.36%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-20 04:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -1.91%E -1.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -13.35%E -6.36%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-20 04:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -1.91%E -1.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -13.35%E -6.36%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-20 04:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.08%E -1.87%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-20 08:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.08%E -1.87%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 07:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.08%E -1.87%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 07:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.08%E -1.87%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-20 05:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.67%E -2.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.21%E -0.931%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-20 08:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.67%E -2.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.21%E -0.931%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-20 08:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.44%E -1.47%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-20 08:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 08:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 08:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 08:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 08:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 08:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 08:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -4.85%E -2.99%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -0.555%E -0.230%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-20 08:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.85%E -2.99%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -0.968%E -0.403%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-20 08:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.85%E -2.99%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.09%E -2.21%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-20 08:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -4.85%E -2.99%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -6.33%E -2.79%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 08:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.43%E -3.38%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.03%E -1.29%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 08:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -5.43%E -3.38%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -11.28%E -5.25%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-20 05:18 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 08:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.61%E -4.16%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.09%E -2.21%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-20 08:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.61%E -4.16%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.09%E -2.21%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-20 08:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.78%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.03%E -1.29%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 08:48 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.78%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.09%E -2.21%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-20 08:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.78%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.09%E -2.21%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-20 08:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.78%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-20 08:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.78%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-20 08:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -10.72%E -7.05%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -3.03%E -1.29%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-20 08:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.74%EV -11.31%E -7.49%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.26%EV -11.28%E -5.25%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-20 08:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.