默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Saitama Seibu Lions v Chiba Lotte Marines

开赛时间： 2026-05-20 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

59%

41%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)

预测 58.74%1.70公平赔率

EV +0.440%

优势 +0.257%

Kelly +0.619%

增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 1.71

博彩公司预测分布

55.12%58.38%59.10%60.72%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.511.621.631.7166.23%61.74%61.35%58.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)

预测 41.26%2.42公平赔率

EV -0.555%

优势 -0.230%

Kelly -0.394%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.41

博彩公司预测分布

39.28%41.62%40.90%44.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.102.262.252.4147.62%44.17%44.44%41.49%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)：58.74%；Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)：41.26%。对于“Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.70。当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.71，对应+0.440%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Caesars🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +0.440%E +0.257%K +0.619%G +0.003%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -13.35%E -6.36%K -12.13%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-19 16:29
Coolbet🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -0.148%E -0.087%K -0.211%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -10.46%E -4.82%K -8.94%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-05-20 07:19
888sport🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -1.91%E -1.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -13.35%E -6.36%K -12.13%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-05-20 04:49
888sport (SE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -1.91%E -1.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -13.35%E -6.36%K -12.13%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-05-20 04:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -1.91%E -1.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -13.35%E -6.36%K -12.13%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-05-20 04:49
1xBet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.08%E -1.87%K -4.75%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-05-20 08:49
NordicBet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.08%E -1.87%K -4.75%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-20 07:29
Betsson🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.08%E -1.87%K -4.75%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-20 07:29
BetMGM🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.08%E -1.87%K -4.75%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-20 05:20
LowVig.ag🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.67%E -2.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.21%E -0.931%K -1.61%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-05-20 08:49
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.67%E -2.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.21%E -0.931%K -1.61%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-05-20 08:49
William Hill🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.44%E -1.47%K -2.57%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-05-20 08:39
Unibet🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-20 08:39
BetRivers🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-20 08:39
PMU (FR)🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-20 08:39
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-20 08:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-20 08:39
Bally Bet🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-20 08:39
Pinnacle🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -4.85%E -2.99%K -7.82%G +0.000%	2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -0.555%E -0.230%K -0.394%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-05-20 08:50
Fanatics🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.85%E -2.99%K -7.82%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -0.968%E -0.403%K -0.691%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-05-20 08:49
BetUS🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.85%E -2.99%K -7.82%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.09%E -2.21%K -3.92%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-20 08:50
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -4.85%E -2.99%K -7.82%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -6.33%E -2.79%K -4.99%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-20 08:09
DraftKings🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.43%E -3.38%K -8.91%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.03%E -1.29%K -2.25%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-05-20 08:49
Coral🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -5.43%E -3.38%K -8.91%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -11.28%E -5.25%K -9.81%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-05-20 05:18
FanDuel🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-05-20 08:49
ReBet🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.61%E -4.16%K -11.20%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.09%E -2.21%K -3.92%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-20 08:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.61%E -4.16%K -11.20%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.09%E -2.21%K -3.92%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-20 08:49
Bovada🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.78%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.03%E -1.29%K -2.25%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-20 08:48
BoyleSports🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.78%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.09%E -2.21%K -3.92%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-20 08:49
theScore Bet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.78%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.09%E -2.21%K -3.92%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-20 08:49
Betway🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.78%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-05-20 08:50
Everygame🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.78%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-05-20 08:49
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -10.72%E -7.05%K -20.62%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -3.03%E -1.29%K -2.25%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-05-20 08:49
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 58.74%EV -11.31%E -7.49%K -22.17%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 41.26%EV -11.28%E -5.25%K -9.81%G +0.000%	12.7%	2026-05-20 08:49

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。