La scuola delle quote

Saitama Seibu Lions v Chiba Lotte Marines

Inizio: 2026-05-20 09:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

34 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Saitama Seibu Lions (Casa)

Previsione 58.74%1.70quota equa
EV +0.440%
Vantaggio +0.257%
Kelly +0.619%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.71

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.12%58.38%59.10%60.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.511.621.631.7166.23%61.74%61.35%58.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chiba Lotte Marines (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.26%2.42quota equa
EV -0.555%
Vantaggio -0.230%
Kelly -0.394%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.41

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.28%41.62%40.90%44.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.262.252.4147.62%44.17%44.44%41.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (34 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +0.440%E +0.257%K +0.619%G +0.003%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -13.35%E -6.36%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 16:29
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -0.148%E -0.087%K -0.211%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -10.46%E -4.82%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 07:19
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -1.91%E -1.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -13.35%E -6.36%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 04:49
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -1.91%E -1.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -13.35%E -6.36%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 04:49
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -1.91%E -1.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -13.35%E -6.36%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 04:49
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.08%E -1.87%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-20 08:49
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.08%E -1.87%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 07:29
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.08%E -1.87%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 07:29
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.08%E -1.87%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 05:20
LowVig.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.67%E -2.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.21%E -0.931%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-20 08:49
BetOnline.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.67%E -2.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.21%E -0.931%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-20 08:49
William Hill1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.44%E -1.47%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 08:39
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 08:39
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 08:39
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 08:39
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 08:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 08:39
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 08:39
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -4.85%E -2.99%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -0.555%E -0.230%K -0.394%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-20 08:50
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.85%E -2.99%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -0.968%E -0.403%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-20 08:49
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.85%E -2.99%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.09%E -2.21%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-20 08:50
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -4.85%E -2.99%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -6.33%E -2.79%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 08:09
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.43%E -3.38%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.03%E -1.29%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 08:49
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -5.43%E -3.38%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -11.28%E -5.25%K -9.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-20 05:18
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 08:49
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.61%E -4.16%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.09%E -2.21%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 08:50
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.61%E -4.16%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.09%E -2.21%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 08:49
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.78%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.03%E -1.29%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 08:48
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.78%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.09%E -2.21%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 08:49
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.78%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.09%E -2.21%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 08:49
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.78%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-20 08:50
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.78%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-20 08:49
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -10.72%E -7.05%K -20.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -3.03%E -1.29%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-20 08:49
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.74%EV -11.31%E -7.49%K -22.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.26%EV -11.28%E -5.25%K -9.81%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-20 08:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.