L’École des cotes

Saitama Seibu Lions v Chiba Lotte Marines

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-20 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)

Prévision 58.74%1.70cote équitable
EV +0.440%
Avantage +0.257%
Kelly +0.619%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.12%58.38%59.10%60.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.511.621.631.7166.23%61.74%61.35%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chiba Lotte Marines (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.26%2.42cote équitable
EV -0.555%
Avantage -0.230%
Kelly -0.394%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.28%41.62%40.90%44.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.262.252.4147.62%44.17%44.44%41.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +0.440%E +0.257%K +0.619%G +0.003%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -13.35%E -6.36%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 16:29
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -0.148%E -0.087%K -0.211%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -10.46%E -4.82%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 07:19
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -1.91%E -1.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -13.35%E -6.36%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 04:49
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -1.91%E -1.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -13.35%E -6.36%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 04:49
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -1.91%E -1.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -13.35%E -6.36%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 04:49
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.08%E -1.87%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-20 08:49
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.08%E -1.87%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 07:29
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.08%E -1.87%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 07:29
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.08%E -1.87%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 05:20
LowVig.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.67%E -2.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.21%E -0.931%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-20 08:49
BetOnline.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.67%E -2.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.21%E -0.931%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-20 08:49
William Hill1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.44%E -1.47%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 08:39
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 08:39
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 08:39
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 08:39
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 08:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 08:39
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 08:39
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -4.85%E -2.99%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -0.555%E -0.230%K -0.394%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-20 08:50
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.85%E -2.99%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -0.968%E -0.403%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-20 08:49
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.85%E -2.99%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.09%E -2.21%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-20 08:50
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -4.85%E -2.99%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -6.33%E -2.79%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 08:09
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.43%E -3.38%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.03%E -1.29%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 08:49
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -5.43%E -3.38%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -11.28%E -5.25%K -9.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-20 05:18
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 08:49
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.61%E -4.16%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.09%E -2.21%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 08:50
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.61%E -4.16%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.09%E -2.21%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 08:49
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.78%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.03%E -1.29%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 08:48
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.78%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.09%E -2.21%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 08:49
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.78%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.09%E -2.21%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 08:49
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.78%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-20 08:50
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.78%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-20 08:49
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -10.72%E -7.05%K -20.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -3.03%E -1.29%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-20 08:49
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.74%EV -11.31%E -7.49%K -22.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.26%EV -11.28%E -5.25%K -9.81%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-20 08:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.