The School of Odds

Chunichi Dragons v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

2026-07-10 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Chunichi Dragons (Local)

Prediction 58.17%1.72fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -4.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.77%58.16%58.14%59.13%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.551.631.621.6765%61%62%60%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)

Prediction 41.83%2.39fair odd
EV -0.872%
Edge -0.368%
Kelly -0.636%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.87%41.84%41.86%43.23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.102.242.252.3748%45%44%42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.85%E -1.71%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-09 15:59
William Hill1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.43%E -2.07%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.64%E -2.03%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 16:09
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -3.43%E -2.07%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -8.82%E -4.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 15:59
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -3.43%E -2.07%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -8.82%E -4.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 15:59
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -3.43%E -2.07%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -8.82%E -4.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 15:59
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -3.43%E -2.07%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -8.82%E -4.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 15:59
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -3.43%E -2.07%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -8.82%E -4.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 15:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -3.43%E -2.07%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -8.82%E -4.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 16:05
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -0.872%E -0.368%K -0.636%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-09 16:05
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.71%E -0.727%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-09 15:59
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.71%E -0.727%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-09 16:00
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -2.54%E -1.09%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-09 16:20
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 18:50
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 18:55
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 16:20
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.60%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.05%E -2.23%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 16:12
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 16:00
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 16:05
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 15:59
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 16:00
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 15:59
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-09 15:59
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-09 15:59
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 15:59
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 16:00
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 16:04
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 15:59
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 18:14
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.50%E -4.72%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 16:28
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.67%E -5.52%K -15.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-09 16:45
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.67%E -5.52%K -15.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -10.07%E -4.69%K -8.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-09 16:00
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -9.25%E -5.93%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -12.16%E -5.79%K -11.06%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-09 15:59
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -9.83%E -6.34%K -17.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -12.16%E -5.79%K -11.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-09 15:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.