The School of Odds
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Chunichi Dragons v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

Kickoff: 2026-07-10 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chunichi Dragons (Local)

Prediction 61.69%1.62fair odd
EV -0.676%
Edge -0.420%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.65%61.65%61.88%62.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.531.541.6168.97%65.27%64.94%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)

Prediction 38.31%2.61fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.452%
Kelly -0.737%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.03%38.35%38.12%40.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.272.452.432.5844.05%40.90%41.15%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -0.676%E -0.420%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 08:19
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.61%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.39%EV -3.46%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-10 08:29
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.76%E -2.41%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.55%E -0.602%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-10 08:29
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.76%E -2.41%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.55%E -0.602%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-10 08:30
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.76%E -2.41%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.31%E -0.907%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-10 08:24
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.76%E -2.41%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.98%E -4.25%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 08:29
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -1.16%E -0.452%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-10 08:45
BetUS1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18%EV -3.85%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-10 08:35
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 08:30
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 08:25
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.23%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 08:24
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.91%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 08:39
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.91%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 08:40
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.91%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 08:39
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.91%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 08:40
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.91%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 08:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.91%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 08:40
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-10 08:35
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.46%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 08:25
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.23%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 08:25
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -5.38%E -2.18%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 08:30
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 08:25
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 08:25
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-10 08:24
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-10 08:25
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-10 08:24
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.21%E -3.89%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 08:29
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.85%E -4.53%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 08:25
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.23%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 08:23
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 08:24
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 08:24
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 08:25
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -8.70%E -5.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.98%E -4.25%K -7.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-10 08:49
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.31%E -6.34%K -19.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.23%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-10 08:24
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.02%EV -10.55%E -7.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.98%EV -13.04%E -5.74%K -10.27%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-10 08:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.