La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Chunichi Dragons v Hiroshima Toyo Carp
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chunichi Dragons (Local)
Predicción 61.69%1.62momio equitativo
EV -0.676%
Ventaja -0.420%
Kelly -1.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.65%61.65%61.88%62.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.531.541.6168.97%65.27%64.94%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visitante)
Predicción 38.31%2.61momio equitativo
EV -1.16%
Ventaja -0.452%
Kelly -0.737%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.03%38.35%38.12%40.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.272.452.432.5844.05%40.90%41.15%38.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (35 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -0.676%E -0.420%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 08:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.61%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.39%EV -3.46%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-10 08:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.76%E -2.41%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.55%E -0.602%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-10 08:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.76%E -2.41%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.55%E -0.602%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-10 08:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.76%E -2.41%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.31%E -0.907%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-10 08:24 |
| Caesars | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.76%E -2.41%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.98%E -4.25%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-10 08:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -1.16%E -0.452%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-10 08:45 |
| BetUS | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18%EV -3.85%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-10 08:35 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 08:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 08:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.23%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 08:24 |
| Unibet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.91%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-10 08:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.91%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-10 08:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.91%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-10 08:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.91%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-10 08:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.91%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-10 08:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.91%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-10 08:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-10 08:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.46%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-10 08:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.23%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-10 08:25 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -5.38%E -2.18%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 08:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-10 08:25 |
| Fliff | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 08:25 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-10 08:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-10 08:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-10 08:24 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.21%E -3.89%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-10 08:29 |
| ReBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.85%E -4.53%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 08:25 |
| Bovada | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.23%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-10 08:23 |
| theScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-10 08:24 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-10 08:24 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-10 08:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -8.70%E -5.88%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.98%E -4.25%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-10 08:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.31%E -6.34%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.23%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-10 08:24 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.02%EV -10.55%E -7.27%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.98%EV -13.04%E -5.74%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-10 08:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.