L’École des cotes

Chunichi Dragons v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-10 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chunichi Dragons (Local)

Prévision 61.69%1.62cote équitable
EV -0.676%
Avantage -0.420%
Kelly -1.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.65%61.65%61.88%62.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.531.541.6168.97%65.27%64.94%62.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.31%2.61cote équitable
EV -1.16%
Avantage -0.452%
Kelly -0.737%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.03%38.35%38.12%40.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.272.452.432.5844.05%40.90%41.15%38.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
William Hill1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -0.676%E -0.420%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 08:19
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.61%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.39%EV -3.46%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-10 08:29
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.76%E -2.41%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.55%E -0.602%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-10 08:29
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.76%E -2.41%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.55%E -0.602%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-10 08:30
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.76%E -2.41%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.31%E -0.907%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-10 08:24
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.76%E -2.41%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.98%E -4.25%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 08:29
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -1.16%E -0.452%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-10 08:45
BetUS1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18%EV -3.85%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-10 08:35
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 08:30
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 08:25
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.23%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 08:24
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.91%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 08:39
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.91%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 08:40
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.91%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 08:39
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.91%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 08:40
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.91%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 08:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.91%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 08:40
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-10 08:35
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.46%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 08:25
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.23%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 08:25
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -5.38%E -2.18%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 08:30
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 08:25
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 08:25
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-10 08:24
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-10 08:25
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-10 08:24
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.21%E -3.89%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 08:29
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.85%E -4.53%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 08:25
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.23%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 08:23
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 08:24
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 08:24
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 08:25
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -8.70%E -5.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.98%E -4.25%K -7.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-10 08:49
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.31%E -6.34%K -19.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.23%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-10 08:24
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.02%EV -10.55%E -7.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.98%EV -13.04%E -5.74%K -10.27%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-10 08:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.