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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Chunichi Dragons v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

开赛时间： 2026-07-10 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chunichi Dragons (主队)

预测 61.69%1.62公平赔率
EV -0.676%
优势 -0.420%
Kelly -1.11%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.61

博彩公司预测分布
59.65%61.65%61.88%62.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.451.531.541.6168.97%65.27%64.94%62.11%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)

预测 38.31%2.61公平赔率
EV -1.16%
优势 -0.452%
Kelly -0.737%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.58

博彩公司预测分布
37.03%38.35%38.12%40.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.272.452.432.5844.05%40.90%41.15%38.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chunichi Dragons (主队)：61.69%；Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)：38.31%。 对于“Chunichi Dragons (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.62。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.61，期望值为-0.676%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
William Hill🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -0.676%E -0.420%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 08:19
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.61%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.39%EV -3.46%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-10 08:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.76%E -2.41%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.55%E -0.602%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-10 08:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.76%E -2.41%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.55%E -0.602%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-10 08:30
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.76%E -2.41%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.31%E -0.907%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-10 08:24
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.76%E -2.41%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.98%E -4.25%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 08:29
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -1.16%E -0.452%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-10 08:45
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18%EV -3.85%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-10 08:35
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 08:30
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 08:25
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.23%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 08:24
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.91%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 08:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.91%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 08:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.91%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 08:39
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.91%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 08:40
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.91%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 08:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.91%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 08:40
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-10 08:35
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.46%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 08:25
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.23%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 08:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -5.38%E -2.18%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 08:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 08:25
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 08:25
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-10 08:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-10 08:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-10 08:24
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.21%E -3.89%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 08:29
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.85%E -4.53%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 08:25
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.23%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 08:23
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 08:24
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 08:24
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 08:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -8.70%E -5.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.98%E -4.25%K -7.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-10 08:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.31%E -6.34%K -19.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.23%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-10 08:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.02%EV -10.55%E -7.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.98%EV -13.04%E -5.74%K -10.27%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-10 08:34
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。