The School of Odds

Washington Nationals v New York Yankees

2026-07-12 17:36 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prediction 48.96%2.04fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -2.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.41%48.96%48.95%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.881.941.942.0053%52%52%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

New York Yankees (Visit)

Prediction 51.04%1.96fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.769%
Kelly -1.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.04%51.05%51.59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.801.871.871.9356%53%53%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.09%E -1.04%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.50%E -1.31%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-12 00:49
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.09%E -1.04%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.50%E -1.31%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-12 00:54
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.09%E -1.04%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.50%E -1.31%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-12 01:29
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.09%E -1.04%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.50%E -1.31%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-12 01:40
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.58%E -1.30%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.48%E -0.769%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 02:30
MyBookie.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 01:49
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.05%E -2.07%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.53%E -1.87%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 23:54
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.01%E -1.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 00:04
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 01:44
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 01:44
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 01:44
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 01:39
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 01:29
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 01:39
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 00:04
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 02:30
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 00:09
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 01:04
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 01:35
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 02:19
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 02:30
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 02:30
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 01:34
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 23:54
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 02:09
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 01:44
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 00:00
Bovada1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 00:49
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 01:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 01:34
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.06%E -2.72%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 02:04
Betr (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 23:59
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 01:44
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 01:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 01:44
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 01:44
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 01:45
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 01:44
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 02:30
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 01:44
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 01:44
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 01:44
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 01:44
Betclic (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.08%E -3.30%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 01:43
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 02:14
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.01%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.53%E -1.87%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 00:25
SportsBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.01%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 23:54
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.31%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 00:34
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 00:00
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 00:00
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 00:00
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 01:44
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.01%E -1.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 23:50
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -7.47%E -3.95%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -7.61%E -4.20%K -9.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-12 01:39
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.96%E -4.24%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 02:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-07-12 02:14
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-12 01:20
ProphetX2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%1.3%2026-07-12 02:19
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-07-12 02:10
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%4.5%2026-07-12 02:30
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.95%8.4%2026-07-12 02:30