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Washington Nationals v New York Yankees
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Washington Nationals (Local)
Prediction 52.11%1.92fair odd
EV -0.466%
Edge -0.244%
Kelly -0.512%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.12%52.22%53.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.831.831.9155.56%54.65%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Yankees (Visit)
Prediction 47.89%2.09fair odd
EV +1.04%
Edge +0.495%
Kelly +0.940%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 2.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.45%47.88%47.78%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.991.982.1152.63%50.14%50.51%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Nationals (Local): 52.11%; New York Yankees (Visit): 47.89%. For New York Yankees (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.11, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.04%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV +1.04%E +0.495%K +0.940%G +0.010% | 2.0% | 2026-07-12 17:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.565%E +0.269%K +0.514%G +0.003% | 2.3% | 2026-07-12 17:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.565%E +0.269%K +0.514%G +0.003% | 2.3% | 2026-07-12 17:29 |
| BetAnything | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.565%E +0.269%K +0.514%G +0.003% | 2.3% | 2026-07-12 17:29 |
| Everygame | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.565%E +0.269%K +0.514%G +0.003% | 2.3% | 2026-07-12 16:39 |
| BetUS | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.565%E +0.269%K +0.514%G +0.003% | 2.3% | 2026-07-12 17:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV +0.086%E +0.041%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| 1xBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -3.07%E -1.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -0.872%E -0.421%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-12 16:44 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.35%E -0.656%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| theScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.892%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 16:40 |
| Bovada | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.892%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| Caesars | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.892%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 16:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.892%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 16:43 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.892%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.892%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 16:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.55%E -1.36%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.27%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-12 17:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.27%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 16:50 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.27%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.27%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 16:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -3.74%E -1.86%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 16:42 |
| TAB | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 17:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 17:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 17:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 16:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-12 16:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-12 16:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-12 17:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.68%E -3.14%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-12 16:49 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 17:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 17:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 17:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -2.55%E -1.36%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| Bet Right | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.11%E -2.24%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-12 17:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 17:19 |
| Betsson | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 17:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 17:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 17:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 17:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 17:29 |
| Unibet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 17:29 |
| Casumo | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 17:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 17:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 17:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 17:29 |
| Bally Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 17:29 |
| betPARX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 17:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 17:29 |
| ReBet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.55%E -1.36%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 14:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.55%E -1.36%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 14:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| Fliff | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 16:49 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 17:33 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-12 16:49 |
| betano_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-12 17:32 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -4.11%E -2.24%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -7.10%E -3.66%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 17:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -4.11%E -2.24%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -7.10%E -3.66%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.10%E -3.66%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-12 17:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.10%E -3.66%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-12 17:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.03%E -1.08%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 15:15 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.03%E -1.08%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.05%E -4.20%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 16:04 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.466%E -0.244%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.53%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -2.55%E -1.36%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -9.01%E -4.74%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-12 14:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -5.68%E -3.14%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -9.01%E -4.74%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-12 17:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.01%E -4.74%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-12 17:23 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-07-12 17:35 |
| ProphetX | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.38% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.62% | 0.7% | 2026-07-12 17:29 |
| Matchbook | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 0.9% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 0.9% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 0.9% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| Polymarket | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-12 16:00 |
| Novig | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| Kalshi | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-07-12 17:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94% | 2.4% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| BetOpenly | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |