مدرسة الاحتمالات

Washington Nationals v New York Yankees

البداية: 2026-07-12 17:36 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Washington Nationals 3–5 New York Yankees

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

65 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Washington Nationals (المضيف)

التنبؤ 52.11%1.92السعر العادل
EV -0.466%
الأفضلية -0.244%
Kelly -0.512%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.91

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.00%52.12%52.22%53.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.801.831.831.9155.56%54.65%54.64%52.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

New York Yankees (الضيف)

التنبؤ 47.89%2.09السعر العادل
EV +1.04%
الأفضلية +0.495%
Kelly +0.940%
النمو +0.010%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.11

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.45%47.88%47.78%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.901.991.982.1152.63%50.14%50.51%47.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (65 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV +1.04%E +0.495%K +0.940%G +0.010%2.0%2026-07-12 17:29
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.565%E +0.269%K +0.514%G +0.003%2.3%2026-07-12 17:29
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.565%E +0.269%K +0.514%G +0.003%2.3%2026-07-12 17:29
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.565%E +0.269%K +0.514%G +0.003%2.3%2026-07-12 17:29
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.565%E +0.269%K +0.514%G +0.003%2.3%2026-07-12 16:39
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.565%E +0.269%K +0.514%G +0.003%2.3%2026-07-12 17:29
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV +0.086%E +0.041%K +0.079%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-12 17:34
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -3.07%E -1.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -0.872%E -0.421%K -0.815%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 16:44
MyBookie.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.35%E -0.656%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 17:34
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.892%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 16:40
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.892%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 17:34
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.892%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 16:39
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.892%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 16:43
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.892%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.892%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 16:44
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.55%E -1.36%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.27%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-12 17:29
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.27%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 16:50
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.27%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 16:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.27%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 16:45
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -3.74%E -1.86%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 16:42
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 17:19
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 17:29
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 17:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 16:49
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 16:05
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 16:05
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 17:29
SportsBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.68%E -3.14%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 16:49
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 17:19
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 17:19
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 17:19
Unibet (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -2.55%E -1.36%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 16:14
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.11%E -2.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 17:19
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:19
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:19
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:19
Betr (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:19
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:29
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:29
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:29
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:29
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:29
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:29
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:29
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:29
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:29
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.55%E -1.36%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 14:24
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.55%E -1.36%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 14:19
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 16:14
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 16:49
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 17:33
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 16:14
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 16:49
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 17:32
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -4.11%E -2.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -7.10%E -3.66%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 17:24
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -4.11%E -2.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -7.10%E -3.66%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 16:14
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.10%E -3.66%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 17:35
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.10%E -3.66%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 17:29
DraftKings1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.03%E -1.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 15:15
Dabble (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.03%E -1.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.05%E -4.20%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 16:04
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.466%E -0.244%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.53%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 00:34
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -2.55%E -1.36%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -9.01%E -4.74%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 14:30
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -5.68%E -3.14%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -9.01%E -4.74%K -10.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-12 17:10
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.01%E -4.74%K -10.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-12 17:23
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-07-12 17:35
ProphetX1.86I 53.76%NM 53.38%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.62%0.7%2026-07-12 17:29
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-07-12 17:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-07-12 17:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-07-12 17:34
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-12 16:00
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-12 17:34
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-07-12 17:25
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%2.4%2026-07-12 17:34
BetOpenly1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%5.0%2026-07-12 17:34