A Escola das Odds

Washington Nationals v New York Yankees

Início: 2026-07-12 17:36 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 3–5 New York Yankees

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Previsão 52.11%1.92odd justa
EV -0.466%
Vantagem -0.244%
Kelly -0.512%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%52.12%52.22%53.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.801.831.831.9155.56%54.65%54.64%52.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Previsão 47.89%2.09odd justa
EV +1.04%
Vantagem +0.495%
Kelly +0.940%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.11

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.45%47.88%47.78%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.901.991.982.1152.63%50.14%50.51%47.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV +1.04%E +0.495%K +0.940%G +0.010%2.0%2026-07-12 17:29
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.565%E +0.269%K +0.514%G +0.003%2.3%2026-07-12 17:29
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.565%E +0.269%K +0.514%G +0.003%2.3%2026-07-12 17:29
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.565%E +0.269%K +0.514%G +0.003%2.3%2026-07-12 17:29
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.565%E +0.269%K +0.514%G +0.003%2.3%2026-07-12 16:39
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.565%E +0.269%K +0.514%G +0.003%2.3%2026-07-12 17:29
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV +0.086%E +0.041%K +0.079%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-12 17:34
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -3.07%E -1.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -0.872%E -0.421%K -0.815%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 16:44
MyBookie.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.35%E -0.656%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 17:34
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.892%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 16:40
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.892%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 17:34
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.892%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 16:39
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.892%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 16:43
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.892%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.892%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 16:44
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.55%E -1.36%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.27%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-12 17:29
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.27%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 16:50
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.27%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 16:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.27%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 16:45
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -3.74%E -1.86%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 16:42
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 17:19
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 17:29
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 17:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 16:49
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 16:05
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 16:05
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 17:29
SportsBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.68%E -3.14%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 16:49
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 17:19
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 17:19
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 17:19
Unibet (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -2.55%E -1.36%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 16:14
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.11%E -2.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 17:19
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:19
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:19
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:19
Betr (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:19
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:29
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:29
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:29
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:29
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:29
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:29
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:29
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:29
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:29
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.55%E -1.36%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 14:24
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.55%E -1.36%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 14:19
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 16:14
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 16:49
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 17:33
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 16:14
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 16:49
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 17:32
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -4.11%E -2.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -7.10%E -3.66%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 17:24
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -4.11%E -2.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -7.10%E -3.66%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 16:14
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.10%E -3.66%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 17:35
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.10%E -3.66%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 17:29
DraftKings1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.03%E -1.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 15:15
Dabble (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.03%E -1.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.05%E -4.20%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 16:04
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.466%E -0.244%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.53%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 00:34
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -2.55%E -1.36%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -9.01%E -4.74%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 14:30
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -5.68%E -3.14%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -9.01%E -4.74%K -10.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-12 17:10
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.01%E -4.74%K -10.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-12 17:23
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-07-12 17:35
ProphetX1.86I 53.76%NM 53.38%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.62%0.7%2026-07-12 17:29
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-07-12 17:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-07-12 17:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-07-12 17:34
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-12 16:00
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-12 17:34
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-07-12 17:25
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%2.4%2026-07-12 17:34
BetOpenly1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%5.0%2026-07-12 17:34