La escuela de los momios

Washington Nationals v New York Yankees

Inicio: 2026-07-12 17:36 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 3–5 New York Yankees

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Predicción 52.11%1.92momio equitativo
EV -0.466%
Ventaja -0.244%
Kelly -0.512%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%52.12%52.22%53.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.831.831.9155.56%54.65%54.64%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Predicción 47.89%2.09momio equitativo
EV +1.04%
Ventaja +0.495%
Kelly +0.940%
Crecimiento +0.010%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.45%47.88%47.78%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.901.991.982.1152.63%50.14%50.51%47.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV +1.04%E +0.495%K +0.940%G +0.010%2.0%2026-07-12 17:29
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.565%E +0.269%K +0.514%G +0.003%2.3%2026-07-12 17:29
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.565%E +0.269%K +0.514%G +0.003%2.3%2026-07-12 17:29
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.565%E +0.269%K +0.514%G +0.003%2.3%2026-07-12 17:29
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.565%E +0.269%K +0.514%G +0.003%2.3%2026-07-12 16:39
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.565%E +0.269%K +0.514%G +0.003%2.3%2026-07-12 17:29
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV +0.086%E +0.041%K +0.079%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-12 17:34
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -3.07%E -1.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -0.872%E -0.421%K -0.815%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 16:44
MyBookie.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.35%E -0.656%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 17:34
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.892%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 16:40
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.892%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 17:34
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.892%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 16:39
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.892%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 16:43
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.892%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.892%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 16:44
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.55%E -1.36%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.27%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-12 17:29
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.27%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 16:50
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.27%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 16:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.27%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 16:45
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -3.74%E -1.86%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 16:42
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 17:19
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 17:29
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 17:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 16:49
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 16:05
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 16:05
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 17:29
SportsBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.68%E -3.14%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 16:49
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 17:19
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 17:19
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 17:19
Unibet (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -2.55%E -1.36%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 16:14
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.11%E -2.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 17:19
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:19
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:19
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:19
Betr (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:19
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:29
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:29
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:29
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:29
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:29
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:29
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:29
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:29
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:29
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.55%E -1.36%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 14:24
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.55%E -1.36%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 14:19
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 16:14
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 16:49
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 17:33
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 16:14
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 16:49
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 17:32
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -4.11%E -2.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -7.10%E -3.66%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 17:24
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -4.11%E -2.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -7.10%E -3.66%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 16:14
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.10%E -3.66%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 17:35
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.10%E -3.66%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 17:29
DraftKings1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.03%E -1.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 15:15
Dabble (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.03%E -1.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.05%E -4.20%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 16:04
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.466%E -0.244%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.53%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 00:34
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -2.55%E -1.36%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -9.01%E -4.74%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 14:30
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -5.68%E -3.14%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -9.01%E -4.74%K -10.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-12 17:10
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.01%E -4.74%K -10.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-12 17:23
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-07-12 17:35
ProphetX1.86I 53.76%NM 53.38%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.62%0.7%2026-07-12 17:29
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-07-12 17:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-07-12 17:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-07-12 17:34
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-12 16:00
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-12 17:34
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-07-12 17:25
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%2.4%2026-07-12 17:34
BetOpenly1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%5.0%2026-07-12 17:34