Language:English
Washington Nationals v New York Mets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Washington Nationals (Local)
Prediction 44.24%2.26fair odd
EV +0.435%
Edge +0.191%
Kelly +0.342%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%44.49%43.96%47.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.162.152.2751.02%46.33%46.51%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Mets (Visit)
Prediction 55.76%1.79fair odd
EV +0.360%
Edge +0.200%
Kelly +0.450%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.91%55.51%56.04%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.721.721.8059.88%58.30%58.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Nationals (Local): 44.24%; New York Mets (Visit): 55.76%. For Washington Nationals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.27, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.435%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -8.41%E -4.06%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV +0.360%E +0.200%K +0.450%G +0.002% | 3.9% | 2026-05-19 23:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -11.51%E -5.76%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -0.755%E -0.424%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 23:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.31%E -0.742%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-19 23:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -6.64%E -3.15%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-19 23:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.450%E -0.200%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-19 22:38 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -1.34%E -0.599%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-19 22:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.30%E -4.54%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 23:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV +0.435%E +0.191%K +0.342%G +0.001% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.893%E -0.398%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.893%E -0.398%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.893%E -0.398%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 23:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-19 21:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-19 21:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-19 21:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-19 21:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.20%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 21:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.20%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 21:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.20%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.20%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 21:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.09%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 23:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-19 13:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-19 13:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 16:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 16:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-19 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-19 13:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-19 13:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-19 13:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.99%E -1.84%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-19 16:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 14:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 16:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 23:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 23:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.77%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 21:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.77%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 13:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.77%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 13:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.77%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 23:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.43%E -2.05%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.77%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.43%E -2.05%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.77%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -13.28%E -6.78%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.85%EV -6.33%E -3.77%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-19 23:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.89%E -4.12%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 23:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.89%E -4.12%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 15:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.89%E -4.12%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-19 20:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 0.4% | 2026-05-19 23:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.46% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.54% | 0.5% | 2026-05-19 23:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-05-19 23:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-05-19 23:29 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-05-19 21:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-05-19 21:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.89% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.11% | 1.3% | 2026-05-19 23:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78% | 1.9% | 2026-05-19 23:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95% | 11.0% | 2026-05-19 23:29 |