La scuola delle quote

Washington Nationals v New York Mets

Inizio: 2026-05-19 23:31 UTC

Finale: Washington Nationals 9–6 New York Mets

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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53 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Washington Nationals (Casa)

Previsione 44.24%2.26quota equa
EV +0.435%
Vantaggio +0.191%
Kelly +0.342%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.27

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.15%44.49%43.96%47.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.962.162.152.2751.02%46.33%46.51%44.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

New York Mets (Trasferta)

Previsione 55.76%1.79quota equa
EV +0.360%
Vantaggio +0.200%
Kelly +0.450%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.91%55.51%56.04%56.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.721.721.8059.88%58.30%58.14%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -8.41%E -4.06%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV +0.360%E +0.200%K +0.450%G +0.002%3.9%2026-05-19 23:29
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -11.51%E -5.76%K -11.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -0.755%E -0.424%K -0.968%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 23:29
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.31%E -0.742%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-19 23:29
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-19 21:40
DraftKings2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -6.64%E -3.15%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-19 23:19
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.450%E -0.200%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-19 22:38
BetUS2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -1.34%E -0.599%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-19 22:09
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.30%E -4.54%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 23:09
GTbets2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV +0.435%E +0.191%K +0.342%G +0.001%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-19 22:39
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.893%E -0.398%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 22:39
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.893%E -0.398%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 22:39
BetAnything2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.893%E -0.398%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 22:39
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 21:40
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 21:40
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 23:30
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 21:40
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 21:39
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 21:39
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 21:39
Bally Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 21:40
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 21:40
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 21:39
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.20%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 21:39
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.20%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 21:39
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.20%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 21:40
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.20%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 21:39
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.09%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 23:29
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 13:59
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-19 13:29
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 16:49
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 16:50
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 16:49
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 14:00
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 13:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 13:10
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 13:10
Bet Right2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 14:20
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.99%E -1.84%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 16:50
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 14:20
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 23:19
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 23:19
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.77%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 21:29
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.77%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 13:59
SportsBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.77%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 13:59
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.77%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 23:19
Betsson2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.43%E -2.05%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.77%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-19 22:39
NordicBet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.43%E -2.05%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.77%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-19 22:39
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -13.28%E -6.78%K -13.83%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.85%EV -6.33%E -3.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-19 23:19
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.89%E -4.12%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 23:10
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.89%E -4.12%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 15:20
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.89%E -4.12%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 20:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-05-19 23:30
Novig2.29I 43.67%NM 43.46%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.54%0.5%2026-05-19 23:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-05-19 23:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-05-19 23:29
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-05-19 21:00
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-05-19 21:59
ProphetX2.25I 44.44%NM 43.89%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.11%1.3%2026-05-19 23:29
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%1.9%2026-05-19 23:29
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%11.0%2026-05-19 23:29