L’École des cotes

Washington Nationals v New York Mets

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-19 23:31 UTC

Score final : Washington Nationals 9–6 New York Mets

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prévision 44.24%2.26cote équitable
EV +0.435%
Avantage +0.191%
Kelly +0.342%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.15%44.49%43.96%47.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.962.162.152.2751.02%46.33%46.51%44.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Mets (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.76%1.79cote équitable
EV +0.360%
Avantage +0.200%
Kelly +0.450%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.91%55.51%56.04%56.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.721.721.8059.88%58.30%58.14%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -8.41%E -4.06%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV +0.360%E +0.200%K +0.450%G +0.002%3.9%2026-05-19 23:29
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -11.51%E -5.76%K -11.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -0.755%E -0.424%K -0.968%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 23:29
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.31%E -0.742%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-19 23:29
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-19 21:40
DraftKings2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -6.64%E -3.15%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-19 23:19
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.450%E -0.200%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-19 22:38
BetUS2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -1.34%E -0.599%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-19 22:09
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.30%E -4.54%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 23:09
GTbets2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV +0.435%E +0.191%K +0.342%G +0.001%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-19 22:39
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.893%E -0.398%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 22:39
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.893%E -0.398%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 22:39
BetAnything2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.893%E -0.398%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 22:39
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 21:40
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 21:40
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 23:30
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 21:40
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 21:39
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 21:39
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 21:39
Bally Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 21:40
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 21:40
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 21:39
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.20%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 21:39
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.20%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 21:39
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.20%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 21:40
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.20%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 21:39
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.09%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 23:29
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 13:59
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-19 13:29
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 16:49
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 16:50
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 16:49
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 14:00
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 13:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 13:10
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 13:10
Bet Right2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 14:20
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.99%E -1.84%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 16:50
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 14:20
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 23:19
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 23:19
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.77%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 21:29
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.77%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 13:59
SportsBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.77%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 13:59
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.77%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 23:19
Betsson2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.43%E -2.05%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.77%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-19 22:39
NordicBet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.43%E -2.05%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.77%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-19 22:39
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -13.28%E -6.78%K -13.83%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.85%EV -6.33%E -3.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-19 23:19
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.89%E -4.12%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 23:10
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.89%E -4.12%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 15:20
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.89%E -4.12%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 20:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-05-19 23:30
Novig2.29I 43.67%NM 43.46%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.54%0.5%2026-05-19 23:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-05-19 23:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-05-19 23:29
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-05-19 21:00
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-05-19 21:59
ProphetX2.25I 44.44%NM 43.89%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.11%1.3%2026-05-19 23:29
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%1.9%2026-05-19 23:29
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%11.0%2026-05-19 23:29