La escuela de los momios

Washington Nationals v New York Mets

Inicio: 2026-05-19 23:31 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 9–6 New York Mets

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Predicción 44.24%2.26momio equitativo
EV +0.435%
Ventaja +0.191%
Kelly +0.342%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.15%44.49%43.96%47.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.962.162.152.2751.02%46.33%46.51%44.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New York Mets (Visitante)

Predicción 55.76%1.79momio equitativo
EV +0.360%
Ventaja +0.200%
Kelly +0.450%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.91%55.51%56.04%56.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.721.721.8059.88%58.30%58.14%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -8.41%E -4.06%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV +0.360%E +0.200%K +0.450%G +0.002%3.9%2026-05-19 23:29
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -11.51%E -5.76%K -11.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -0.755%E -0.424%K -0.968%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 23:29
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.31%E -0.742%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-19 23:29
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-19 21:40
DraftKings2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -6.64%E -3.15%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-19 23:19
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.450%E -0.200%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-19 22:38
BetUS2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -1.34%E -0.599%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-19 22:09
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.30%E -4.54%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 23:09
GTbets2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV +0.435%E +0.191%K +0.342%G +0.001%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-19 22:39
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.893%E -0.398%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 22:39
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.893%E -0.398%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 22:39
BetAnything2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.893%E -0.398%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 22:39
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 21:40
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 21:40
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 23:30
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 21:40
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 21:39
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 21:39
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 21:39
Bally Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 21:40
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 21:40
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 21:39
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.20%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 21:39
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.20%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 21:39
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.20%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 21:40
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.20%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 21:39
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.09%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 23:29
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 13:59
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-19 13:29
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 16:49
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 16:50
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 16:49
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 14:00
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 13:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 13:10
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 13:10
Bet Right2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 14:20
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.99%E -1.84%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 16:50
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 14:20
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 23:19
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 23:19
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.77%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 21:29
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.77%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 13:59
SportsBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.77%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 13:59
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.77%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 23:19
Betsson2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.43%E -2.05%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.77%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-19 22:39
NordicBet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.43%E -2.05%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.77%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-19 22:39
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -13.28%E -6.78%K -13.83%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.85%EV -6.33%E -3.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-19 23:19
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.89%E -4.12%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 23:10
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.89%E -4.12%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 15:20
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.89%E -4.12%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 20:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-05-19 23:30
Novig2.29I 43.67%NM 43.46%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.54%0.5%2026-05-19 23:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-05-19 23:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-05-19 23:29
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-05-19 21:00
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-05-19 21:59
ProphetX2.25I 44.44%NM 43.89%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.11%1.3%2026-05-19 23:29
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%1.9%2026-05-19 23:29
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%11.0%2026-05-19 23:29