Language:English
Washington Nationals v Miami Marlins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Washington Nationals (Local)
Prediction 51.25%1.95fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.559%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.40%51.17%53.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.851.851.9356.18%54.17%54.05%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Marlins (Visit)
Prediction 48.75%2.05fair odd
EV +1.39%
Edge +0.668%
Kelly +1.29%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.60%48.60%48.83%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.891.981.972.0852.91%50.53%50.76%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Nationals (Local): 51.25%; Miami Marlins (Visit): 48.75%. For Miami Marlins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.08, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.39%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -6.72%E -3.69%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV +1.39%E +0.668%K +1.29%G +0.018% | 3.0% | 2026-06-02 20:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -7.74%E -4.30%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV +0.415%E +0.201%K +0.391%G +0.002% | 4.1% | 2026-06-02 21:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -7.74%E -4.30%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV +0.415%E +0.201%K +0.391%G +0.002% | 4.1% | 2026-06-02 21:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -3.64%E -1.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-02 13:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -8.25%E -4.61%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-02 20:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -8.25%E -4.61%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-02 20:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -8.25%E -4.61%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-02 20:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -8.25%E -4.61%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-02 20:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -8.25%E -4.61%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-02 21:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -8.25%E -4.61%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-02 21:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -8.25%E -4.61%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-02 21:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -8.25%E -4.61%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-02 20:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -3.64%E -1.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -0.560%E -0.275%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-02 22:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -8.77%E -4.92%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -0.560%E -0.275%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-02 20:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -8.77%E -4.92%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -0.560%E -0.275%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-02 21:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -8.77%E -4.92%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -0.560%E -0.275%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-02 20:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -8.77%E -4.92%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -0.560%E -0.275%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-02 20:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%EV -2.62%E -1.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%EV -1.05%E -0.516%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-06-02 22:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.62%E -1.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.02%E -1.01%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-02 21:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.20%E -3.39%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.51%E -1.25%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-02 03:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.20%E -3.39%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.51%E -1.25%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-02 12:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -4.67%E -2.51%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.00%E -1.51%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-02 20:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -5.69%E -3.09%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.00%E -1.51%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-02 19:58 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -6.72%E -3.69%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -3.00%E -1.51%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-02 13:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.08%E -0.559%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.48%E -1.76%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-02 20:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.08%E -0.559%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.48%E -1.76%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-02 20:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.08%E -0.559%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.48%E -1.76%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-02 20:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.08%E -0.559%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.48%E -1.76%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-02 22:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.67%E -2.51%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.48%E -1.76%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-02 19:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.64%E -1.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-02 20:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-02 14:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.74%E -4.30%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-02 13:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.46%E -2.28%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-02 19:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.46%E -2.28%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-02 14:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.46%E -2.28%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-02 04:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.62%E -1.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-02 22:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-02 22:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-02 22:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-02 19:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-02 19:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-02 05:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-02 20:28 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-02 20:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-02 22:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-02 22:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-02 22:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-02 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-02 20:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-02 20:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-02 22:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.64%E -1.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.43%E -2.80%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-02 19:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.67%E -2.51%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.43%E -2.80%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-02 19:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.92%E -3.07%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-02 22:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.69%E -3.09%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.41%E -3.34%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-02 19:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.10%E -1.10%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-02 22:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.10%E -1.10%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-02 20:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-02 14:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-02 14:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-02 14:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.20%E -3.39%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-02 20:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.20%E -3.39%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-02 19:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.74%E -4.30%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.38%E -3.89%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-02 22:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -7.23%E -3.99%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -7.87%E -4.17%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-02 22:17 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 0.4% | 2026-06-02 22:30 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 0.8% | 2026-06-02 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 0.8% | 2026-06-02 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 0.8% | 2026-06-02 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 0.8% | 2026-06-02 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 0.8% | 2026-06-02 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 48.36% | 0.9% | 2026-06-02 22:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-06-02 13:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-06-02 13:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60% | 1.9% | 2026-06-02 22:40 |