La escuela de los momios

Washington Nationals v Miami Marlins

Inicio: 2026-06-02 22:45 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 3–7 Miami Marlins

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Predicción 51.25%1.95momio equitativo
EV -1.08%
Ventaja -0.559%
Kelly -1.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%51.40%51.17%53.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.851.851.9356.18%54.17%54.05%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Predicción 48.75%2.05momio equitativo
EV +1.39%
Ventaja +0.668%
Kelly +1.29%
Crecimiento +0.018%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.60%48.60%48.83%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.891.981.972.0852.91%50.53%50.76%48.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -6.72%E -3.69%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV +1.39%E +0.668%K +1.29%G +0.018%3.0%2026-06-02 20:50
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -7.74%E -4.30%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV +0.415%E +0.201%K +0.391%G +0.002%4.1%2026-06-02 21:00
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -7.74%E -4.30%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV +0.415%E +0.201%K +0.391%G +0.002%4.1%2026-06-02 21:00
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -3.64%E -1.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-02 13:20
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -8.25%E -4.61%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 20:50
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -8.25%E -4.61%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -8.25%E -4.61%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 20:50
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -8.25%E -4.61%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 20:50
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -8.25%E -4.61%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 21:00
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -8.25%E -4.61%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 21:00
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -8.25%E -4.61%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 21:00
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -8.25%E -4.61%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 20:59
BetAnything1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -3.64%E -1.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -0.560%E -0.275%K -0.539%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-02 22:30
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -8.77%E -4.92%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -0.560%E -0.275%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-02 20:59
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -8.77%E -4.92%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -0.560%E -0.275%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-02 21:00
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -8.77%E -4.92%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -0.560%E -0.275%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-02 20:50
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -8.77%E -4.92%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -0.560%E -0.275%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-02 20:50
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%EV -2.62%E -1.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%EV -1.05%E -0.516%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-02 22:40
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.62%E -1.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.02%E -1.01%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-02 21:19
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.20%E -3.39%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.51%E -1.25%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 03:10
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.20%E -3.39%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.51%E -1.25%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 12:39
MyBookie.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -4.67%E -2.51%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.00%E -1.51%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-02 20:19
Bovada1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -5.69%E -3.09%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.00%E -1.51%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 19:58
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -6.72%E -3.69%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -3.00%E -1.51%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-02 13:10
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.08%E -0.559%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.48%E -1.76%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-02 20:29
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.08%E -0.559%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.48%E -1.76%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-02 20:30
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.08%E -0.559%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.48%E -1.76%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-02 20:30
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.08%E -0.559%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.48%E -1.76%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-02 22:40
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.67%E -2.51%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.48%E -1.76%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 19:49
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.64%E -1.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-02 20:49
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 14:40
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.74%E -4.30%K -9.68%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-02 13:10
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.46%E -2.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 19:50
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.46%E -2.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 14:40
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.46%E -2.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 04:10
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.62%E -1.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-02 22:30
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 22:39
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 22:29
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 19:49
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 19:50
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 05:30
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 20:28
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 20:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 22:39
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 22:39
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 22:40
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 20:30
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 20:30
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 22:30
DraftKings1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.64%E -1.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.43%E -2.80%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 19:49
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.67%E -2.51%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.43%E -2.80%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 19:50
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.92%E -3.07%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-02 22:39
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.69%E -3.09%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.41%E -3.34%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 19:50
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.10%E -1.10%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 22:40
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.10%E -1.10%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 20:00
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 14:40
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 14:40
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 14:39
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.20%E -3.39%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-02 20:19
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.20%E -3.39%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-02 19:49
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.74%E -4.30%K -9.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.38%E -3.89%K -8.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-02 22:39
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -7.23%E -3.99%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -7.87%E -4.17%K -8.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-02 22:17
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-06-02 22:30
BetOpenly1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-06-02 22:40
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-06-02 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-06-02 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-06-02 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-06-02 22:40
ProphetX1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.36%0.9%2026-06-02 22:30
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-06-02 13:30
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-06-02 13:20
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.9%2026-06-02 22:40