L’École des cotes

Washington Nationals v Miami Marlins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-02 22:45 UTC

Score final : Washington Nationals 3–7 Miami Marlins

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prévision 51.25%1.95cote équitable
EV -1.08%
Avantage -0.559%
Kelly -1.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.40%51.17%53.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.851.851.9356.18%54.17%54.05%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Miami Marlins (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.75%2.05cote équitable
EV +1.39%
Avantage +0.668%
Kelly +1.29%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.60%48.60%48.83%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.891.981.972.0852.91%50.53%50.76%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -6.72%E -3.69%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV +1.39%E +0.668%K +1.29%G +0.018%3.0%2026-06-02 20:50
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -7.74%E -4.30%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV +0.415%E +0.201%K +0.391%G +0.002%4.1%2026-06-02 21:00
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -7.74%E -4.30%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV +0.415%E +0.201%K +0.391%G +0.002%4.1%2026-06-02 21:00
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -3.64%E -1.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-02 13:20
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -8.25%E -4.61%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 20:50
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -8.25%E -4.61%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -8.25%E -4.61%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 20:50
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -8.25%E -4.61%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 20:50
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -8.25%E -4.61%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 21:00
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -8.25%E -4.61%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 21:00
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -8.25%E -4.61%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 21:00
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -8.25%E -4.61%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 20:59
BetAnything1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -3.64%E -1.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -0.560%E -0.275%K -0.539%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-02 22:30
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -8.77%E -4.92%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -0.560%E -0.275%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-02 20:59
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -8.77%E -4.92%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -0.560%E -0.275%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-02 21:00
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -8.77%E -4.92%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -0.560%E -0.275%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-02 20:50
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -8.77%E -4.92%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -0.560%E -0.275%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-02 20:50
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%EV -2.62%E -1.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%EV -1.05%E -0.516%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-02 22:40
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.62%E -1.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.02%E -1.01%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-02 21:19
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.20%E -3.39%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.51%E -1.25%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 03:10
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.20%E -3.39%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.51%E -1.25%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 12:39
MyBookie.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -4.67%E -2.51%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.00%E -1.51%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-02 20:19
Bovada1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -5.69%E -3.09%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.00%E -1.51%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 19:58
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -6.72%E -3.69%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -3.00%E -1.51%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-02 13:10
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.08%E -0.559%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.48%E -1.76%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-02 20:29
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.08%E -0.559%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.48%E -1.76%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-02 20:30
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.08%E -0.559%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.48%E -1.76%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-02 20:30
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.08%E -0.559%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.48%E -1.76%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-02 22:40
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.67%E -2.51%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.48%E -1.76%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 19:49
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.64%E -1.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-02 20:49
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 14:40
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.74%E -4.30%K -9.68%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-02 13:10
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.46%E -2.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 19:50
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.46%E -2.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 14:40
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.46%E -2.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 04:10
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.62%E -1.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-02 22:30
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 22:39
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 22:29
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 19:49
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 19:50
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 05:30
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 20:28
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 20:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 22:39
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 22:39
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 22:40
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 20:30
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 20:30
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 22:30
DraftKings1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.64%E -1.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.43%E -2.80%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 19:49
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.67%E -2.51%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.43%E -2.80%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 19:50
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.92%E -3.07%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-02 22:39
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.69%E -3.09%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.41%E -3.34%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 19:50
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.10%E -1.10%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 22:40
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.10%E -1.10%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 20:00
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 14:40
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 14:40
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 14:39
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.20%E -3.39%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-02 20:19
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.20%E -3.39%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-02 19:49
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.74%E -4.30%K -9.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.38%E -3.89%K -8.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-02 22:39
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -7.23%E -3.99%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -7.87%E -4.17%K -8.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-02 22:17
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-06-02 22:30
BetOpenly1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-06-02 22:40
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-06-02 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-06-02 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-06-02 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-06-02 22:40
ProphetX1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.36%0.9%2026-06-02 22:30
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-06-02 13:30
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-06-02 13:20
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.9%2026-06-02 22:40