مدرسة الاحتمالات

Washington Nationals v Miami Marlins

البداية: 2026-06-02 22:45 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Washington Nationals 3–7 Miami Marlins

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Washington Nationals (المضيف)

التنبؤ 51.25%1.95السعر العادل
EV -1.08%
الأفضلية -0.559%
Kelly -1.16%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.93

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.00%51.40%51.17%53.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.781.851.851.9356.18%54.17%54.05%51.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Miami Marlins (الضيف)

التنبؤ 48.75%2.05السعر العادل
EV +1.39%
الأفضلية +0.668%
Kelly +1.29%
النمو +0.018%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.08

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.60%48.60%48.83%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.891.981.972.0852.91%50.53%50.76%48.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -6.72%E -3.69%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV +1.39%E +0.668%K +1.29%G +0.018%3.0%2026-06-02 20:50
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -7.74%E -4.30%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV +0.415%E +0.201%K +0.391%G +0.002%4.1%2026-06-02 21:00
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -7.74%E -4.30%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV +0.415%E +0.201%K +0.391%G +0.002%4.1%2026-06-02 21:00
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -3.64%E -1.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-02 13:20
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -8.25%E -4.61%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 20:50
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -8.25%E -4.61%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -8.25%E -4.61%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 20:50
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -8.25%E -4.61%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 20:50
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -8.25%E -4.61%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 21:00
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -8.25%E -4.61%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 21:00
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -8.25%E -4.61%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 21:00
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -8.25%E -4.61%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -0.073%E -0.035%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 20:59
BetAnything1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -3.64%E -1.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -0.560%E -0.275%K -0.539%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-02 22:30
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -8.77%E -4.92%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -0.560%E -0.275%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-02 20:59
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -8.77%E -4.92%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -0.560%E -0.275%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-02 21:00
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -8.77%E -4.92%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -0.560%E -0.275%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-02 20:50
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -8.77%E -4.92%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -0.560%E -0.275%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-02 20:50
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%EV -2.62%E -1.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%EV -1.05%E -0.516%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-02 22:40
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.62%E -1.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.02%E -1.01%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-02 21:19
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.20%E -3.39%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.51%E -1.25%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 03:10
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.20%E -3.39%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.51%E -1.25%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 12:39
MyBookie.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -4.67%E -2.51%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.00%E -1.51%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-02 20:19
Bovada1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -5.69%E -3.09%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.00%E -1.51%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 19:58
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -6.72%E -3.69%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -3.00%E -1.51%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-02 13:10
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.08%E -0.559%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.48%E -1.76%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-02 20:29
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.08%E -0.559%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.48%E -1.76%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-02 20:30
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.08%E -0.559%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.48%E -1.76%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-02 20:30
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.08%E -0.559%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.48%E -1.76%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-02 22:40
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.67%E -2.51%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.48%E -1.76%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 19:49
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.64%E -1.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-02 20:49
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 14:40
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.74%E -4.30%K -9.68%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-02 13:10
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.46%E -2.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 19:50
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.46%E -2.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 14:40
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.46%E -2.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 04:10
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.62%E -1.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-02 22:30
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 22:39
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 22:29
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 19:49
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 19:50
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 05:30
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 20:28
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 20:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 22:39
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 22:39
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 22:40
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 20:30
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 20:30
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 22:30
DraftKings1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.64%E -1.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.43%E -2.80%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 19:49
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.67%E -2.51%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.43%E -2.80%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 19:50
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.92%E -3.07%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-02 22:39
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.69%E -3.09%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.41%E -3.34%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 19:50
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.10%E -1.10%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 22:40
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.10%E -1.10%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 20:00
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 14:40
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 14:40
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 14:39
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.20%E -3.39%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-02 20:19
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.20%E -3.39%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-02 19:49
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.74%E -4.30%K -9.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.38%E -3.89%K -8.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-02 22:39
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -7.23%E -3.99%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -7.87%E -4.17%K -8.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-02 22:17
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Novig1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-06-02 22:30
BetOpenly1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-06-02 22:40
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-06-02 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-06-02 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-06-02 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-06-02 22:40
ProphetX1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.36%0.9%2026-06-02 22:30
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-06-02 13:30
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-06-02 13:20
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.9%2026-06-02 22:40