语言:简体中文
Washington Nationals v Miami Marlins
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Washington Nationals (主队)
预测 49.30%2.03公平赔率
EV -0.917%
优势 -0.456%
Kelly -0.907%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.01
博彩公司预测分布
47.75%49.28%49.33%50.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.921.912.0154.64%52.05%52.36%49.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
Miami Marlins (客队)
预测 50.70%1.97公平赔率
EV -0.619%
优势 -0.316%
Kelly -0.644%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.96
博彩公司预测分布
49.47%50.72%50.67%52.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.891.891.9655.56%53.00%52.91%51.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Washington Nationals (主队)：49.30%；Miami Marlins (客队)：50.70%。 对于“Miami Marlins (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.97。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.96，期望值为-0.619%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -0.917%E -0.456%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -2.65%E -1.38%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-29 17:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -0.917%E -0.456%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -0.917%E -0.456%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.66%E -1.93%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -1.41%E -0.705%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -2.14%E -1.11%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.41%E -0.705%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-29 19:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.40%E -1.21%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.14%E -1.11%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-29 20:02 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -2.40%E -1.21%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -3.66%E -1.93%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.89%E -1.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 20:03 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -2.89%E -1.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -3.38%E -1.73%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -0.619%E -0.316%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-29 15:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.38%E -1.73%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.63%E -0.842%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-29 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.38%E -1.73%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.63%E -0.842%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-29 19:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.38%E -1.73%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.63%E -0.842%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-29 19:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.38%E -1.73%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.63%E -0.842%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-29 19:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.38%E -1.73%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.63%E -0.842%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-29 20:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.87%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.66%E -1.93%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.87%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.66%E -1.93%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.87%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 19:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.87%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.87%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.37%E -2.25%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.68%E -2.49%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 19:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.37%E -2.25%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.37%E -2.25%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.25%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.69%E -3.06%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -4.86%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -2.65%E -1.38%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 20:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.86%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.68%E -2.49%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 19:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.86%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 20:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.35%E -2.79%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.65%E -1.38%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 15:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.35%E -2.79%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.17%E -2.21%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 18:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.35%E -2.79%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.68%E -2.49%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.35%E -2.79%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 20:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 20:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 13:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 02:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.66%E -1.93%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 20:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 20:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 17:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 19:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 19:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 19:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.34%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.66%E -1.93%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 19:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.34%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.66%E -1.93%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.34%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.66%E -1.93%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.34%E -3.34%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.69%E -3.06%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.34%E -3.34%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 19:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.34%E -3.34%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 19:58 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -6.83%E -3.61%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.65%E -1.38%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 18:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -6.83%E -3.61%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -7.72%E -4.24%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 20:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.32%E -3.90%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.65%E -1.38%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.32%E -3.90%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -7.32%E -3.90%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -4.17%E -2.21%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -7.32%E -3.90%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -4.17%E -2.21%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -7.32%E -3.90%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -4.17%E -2.21%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -7.32%E -3.90%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -4.17%E -2.21%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -7.32%E -3.90%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -4.17%E -2.21%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -7.32%E -3.90%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -4.17%E -2.21%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.32%E -3.90%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -7.82%E -4.18%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -4.68%E -2.49%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%EV -8.31%E -4.47%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%EV -8.31%E -4.47%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -8.80%E -4.76%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.80%E -4.76%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.79%E -5.35%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (10)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.03I 49.26%NM 49.12% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.88% | 0.3% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 0.6% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 19:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 1.3% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15% | 2.4% | 2026-08-29 20:00 |