默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Washington Nationals v Miami Marlins

2026-08-29 20:06 UTC — MLB

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Washington Nationals (主队)

预测 50.35%1.99公平赔率
EV -1.81%
优势 -0.929%
Kelly -1.91%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.95

博彩公司预测分布
50.00%50.38%50.33%51.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.811.891.901.9555.25%52.81%52.77%51.28%最小值均值中位数最大值

Miami Marlins (客队)

预测 49.65%2.01公平赔率
EV -1.70%
优势 -0.858%
Kelly -1.73%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.98

博彩公司预测分布
48.95%49.62%49.67%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.851.921.921.9854.05%52.01%52.22%50.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Washington Nationals (主队):50.35%;Miami Marlins (客队):49.65%。 对于“Miami Marlins (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.01。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为1.98,期望值为-1.70%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -1.81%E -0.929%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -2.20%E -1.11%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-28 23:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.81%E -0.929%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-28 21:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.70%E -0.858%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 00:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.70%E -0.858%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 00:20
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.70%E -0.858%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 00:20
Caesars🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.70%E -0.858%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-28 23:36
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.70%E -0.858%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 00:20
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.20%E -1.11%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-28 23:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 01:04
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 01:45
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 22:45
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 19:00
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 23:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 19:00
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 20:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 22:00
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 00:25
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 00:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 00:20
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 19:00
DraftKings🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 00:20
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 23:25
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.98%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.98%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 18:30
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.98%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.98%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 22:00
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.98%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 01:39
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.83%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.69%E -1.37%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-28 19:00
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -4.83%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -3.68%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 00:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -4.83%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -3.68%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 00:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -4.83%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -3.68%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -4.83%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -3.68%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 00:20
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.83%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 23:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.83%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 19:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.83%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 23:50
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.68%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 22:35
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 00:20
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 00:20
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 00:20
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 00:20
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.67%E -2.98%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 00:20
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 20:30
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 00:20
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 00:19
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 00:20
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 20:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.67%E -2.98%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 00:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -6.34%E -3.41%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 00:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -6.34%E -3.41%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 00:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.35%E -3.99%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.66%E -4.12%K -8.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 00:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -8.36%E -4.59%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -8.15%E -4.41%K -9.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 00:20
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.55%EV -8.86%E -4.90%K -10.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.45%EV -8.15%E -4.41%K -9.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 00:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%0.0%2026-08-28 23:25
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-28 19:15
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-29 01:01
ProphetX1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-29 01:30
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%2.6%2026-08-28 23:55
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 50.14%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.86%9.6%2026-08-29 01:45